Bitcoin Price Prediction: Binance Inflows Just Hit a 4-Year Low – Violent Move Above $100K is Next

Bitcoin’s recent movement isn’t driven by hype, but by supply factors. On-chain data shows BTC inflows to Binance are at their lowest in almost four years, a pattern that often comes before big, volatile price changes. With Bitcoin steady near $88,000, traders are wondering if the next big move will be upward.

Binance Inflows Signal a Supply Squeeze

Recent on-chain analytics show that monthly Bitcoin inflows to Binance now average about 5,700 BTC, a level last seen during the 2020 to 2022 accumulation periods. Fewer coins moving to exchanges usually means less intent to sell, which tightens supply while demand stays strong.

This is important because Binance is the biggest spot trading platform. When inflows to exchanges stay low, there is less selling pressure and a higher chance of sharp price increases if demand picks up. Even though spot Bitcoin ETFs saw short-term outflows of about $147 million, long-term holders seem unaffected and are keeping their coins off exchanges.

Recent price moves show this cautious approach. Bitcoin briefly went back above $90,000 on January 28 before dropping again, bringing its market cap close to $1.78 trillion. This pullback did not cause panic selling, which supports the idea that investors are still accumulating.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Price Holds $88K as Triangle Tightens

Technically, Bitcoin price prediction is seems bearish as BTC is compressing. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price is tightening. On the 4-hour chart, BTC is trading around $87,900 and holding a clear support zone between $87,500 and $88,000. The price has formed a descending triangle, with lower highs set by a downward trendline from the January peak near $97,500. is easing:

• RSI has recovered from oversold conditions near 30 to around 45–50
• Candles near support show long lower wicks, signaling dip-buying interest
• Selling volume has failed to expand on recent pullbacks

However, BTC is still trading below the 50- and 100-period EMAs, which are near $90,000 to $90,500. This means short-term risks remain until there is a confirmed breakout.

Breakout Levels That Could Trigger $100K Momentum

The market looks close to making a decisive move. If Bitcoin breaks above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster, momentum could quickly shift upward, opening the way to:

• $93,300, then
• $95,700, with momentum extension potential beyond

If Bitcoin fails to stay above $87,500, this outlook would be delayed and the price could fall toward $86,100 and $84,100, where there is more buying interest.

Key levels traders are watching:

• Support: $87,500 → $86,100
• Resistance: $90,500 → $93,300

As long as Bitcoin keeps making higher lows above $86,000 and exchange inflows stay low, the market is more likely to see a period of tight trading before a big move, rather than widespread selling. When supply gets this tight, breakouts often happen quickly and can catch late traders off guard.

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