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Federal Reserve monetary policy may benefit stocks, but BTC options show the short-term odds of Bitcoin rallying to $100,000 remain slim.

A divided Federal Reserve approved a 0.25% rate cut, but concerns over inflation and growth, as well as Glassnode data highlighting BTC’s “fragile range,” may keep it under $100,000.

Bitcoin is attempting a recovery, but the short-term trend depends on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision. Meanwhile, ETH leads the altcoin recovery.

Bitcoin’s reaction to FOMC decisions often conflicts with traders’ predictions. Will today’s Federal Reserve interest rate outcome lead to a rally or sell-off?

Bitcoin whipsawed around the key yearly open level into the Fed interest-rate announcement as traders waited for a reliable move.

Ethereum gained between 97% and 147% after ETH price flipped the 50-week MA into support. A similar scenario is unfolding this week.

XRP ETFs absorbed 506 million tokens in under a month, strengthening the case that price discovery is likely on the table for 2026.

Bitcoin remains volatile ahead of the FOMC, with big overhead resistance at $94,000 in place and several key support levels below.