Markets

Polymarket turns to Chainalysis as insider trading concerns mount
A nonprofit analyzed 435,000 Polymarket contracts and found longshot bets on military outcomes succeed at rates over 50% — five times higher than other political markets. Eight wallets turned $164,000 into $1.8 million in the hours before the June 2025 Iran strike. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

Institutional demand to drive bitcoin market cap to $16 trillion by 2030: Ark Invest
The figure implies a sharp increase in the bitcoin price.

Dogecoin zooms 10%, breaking away from bitcoin as open interest hits a yearly peak
Open interest in DOGE-tracked futures climbed to 15.36 billion tokens, a sign that traders are adding fresh leverage as the memecoin’s price surges.

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price
Hawkish dissent within the Federal Reserve, elevated oil prices and rising long-term inflation expectations are pushing bond yields higher.

Robinhood, Coinbase lead crypto stock rout as Trump rejects Iran plan
President Trump reportedly rejected Iran's offer to end the U.S. blockade and open the Strait of Hormuz, sending crude oil prices surging 6%.

Bitcoin's widely tracked Coinbase Premium turns negative as realized losses spike to $6 billion
A metric tracking U.S. spot demand has flipped red just as onchain data shows realized losses surging to $5.97 billion.

As the bitcoin price rises, futures may look bearish, but they're not, analyst says
Research firm 10x says the negative funding rates reflect structural hedging by institutions, not a broad bearish play.

Bitcoin's bull score index just left bear territory. There's a warning attached.
The index has returned to neutral territory, a rare milestone that has historically marked market turning points, but not always correctly.

Trump's Iran ceasefire sends bitcoin past $78K
President Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely, triggering a bitcoin rally past $78,000 and short-squeeze conditions in crypto markets. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily."

Bitcoin is now calmer than South Korea's stock market. Here's why it matters
Bitcoin's comparative stability during geopolitical turmoil has reinforced its appeal as a hedge.

