Market consolidates amid potential U.S. China trade deal (Asa E K/Unsplash)
What to know:
BTC hovered around $114,500 as futures open interest climbed to $27.6 billion and funding rates stayed positive, signaling gradual bullish momentum.
Hedera’s HBAR token jumped 17% after Canary Capital said its HBAR ETF will debut on NYSE Arca. Daily volume surged 344% to $871 million.
Despite HBAR’s advance, many tokens including ZEC and DASH surrendered earlier gains, with the “altcoin season” index falling to 28/100 from 78/100 in September.
The crypto market consolidated on Tuesday following strong gains on Monday, with bitcoin BTC$89,493.41 trading at $114,500 while ether ETH$3,089.40 slipped back to $4,120.
The market is anticipating Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest-rate decision while piggybacking off the optimism of an "imminent" U.S. trade deal with China, an event that caused upside across equities.
STORY CONTINUES BELOW
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The altcoin market remains volatile; with several tokens giving back much of Monday's gains while the likes of HBAR and TAO posted double-digit moves to the upside.
Derivatives Positioning
By Jacob Joseph
The BTC futures market is showing a sustained recovery, with open interest (OI) slowly increasing to $27.62 billion as traders continue to gradually re-engage.
Funding rates have solidified their flip to predominantly positive, with major exchanges like Binance posting a high annualized rate of 7.99%.
The combination of slowly grinding OI and positive funding rates suggests a continuation of slight positive signs and a bullish bias for the market.
The bitcoin options market is displaying a measured bullish outlook, supported by the upward-sloping implied volatility term structure — a position known as contango — which anticipates higher volatility in the future.
Sentiment is turning even more positive as the 25-delta skew is slowly picking up, with the one-week skew at 4%. That means traders are paying a premium for call options. This measured bullish conviction is strongly reinforced by the 24-hour put-call volume, which is heavily in favor of calls (64%).
Coinglass data shows $270 million in 24 hour liquidations, with a 71-29 split between longs and shorts. ETH ($85 million), BTC ($54 million) and others ($36 million) were the leaders in terms of notional liquidations. Binance liquidation heatmap indicates $116,000 as a core liquidation level to monitor in case of a price rise.
Token Talk
By Oliver Knight
The altcoin market remained in a state of flux on Tuesday with several tokens, including zcash ZEC$508.21 and dash DASH$42.95, failing to cling on to recent gains.
One token stands out: HBAR$0.1198. That's jumped 17% in the past 24 hours after an announcement that Canary Capital's HBAR ETF will be listed on the NYSE Arca when markets open on Tuesday.
Daily trading volume for HBAR spiked to $871 million, representing a 344% rise on the previous 24 hour period.
The token trades at 20.9 cents, still below its January peak of 37.5 cents but significantly above June's low of 13.35 cents.
There was also a notable gain for TRUMP, the memecoin issued by the U.S. president at the start of the year. The 11% surge occurred after Trump revealed a trade deal with China was "imminent."
The altcoin sector in general continues to underperform bitcoin, with CoinMarketCap's "altcoin season" indicator printing 28/100 after slumping from 78/100 in September.
KuCoin captured a record share of centralised exchange volume in 2025, with more than $1.25tn traded as its volumes grew faster than the wider crypto market.
What to know:
KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
This performance translated into an all-time high share of centralised exchange volume, as KuCoin’s activity expanded faster than aggregate CEX volumes, which slowed during periods of lower market volatility.
Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.