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DOGE Eyes $0.28 as Dogecoin ETF Catalyst Leads to 'Pennant Breakout'

Technical traders flagged a bullish pennant breakout pattern, while large-scale whale accumulation added to growing confidence that institutional demand is building around the launch.

Sep 10, 2025, 3:33 p.m.
(CoinDesk Data)
(CoinDesk Data)

What to know:

  • Dogecoin surged to the $0.24–$0.25 range as REX-Osprey prepares to launch the first U.S. Dogecoin ETF.
  • Whale accumulation of 280 million DOGE suggests strong institutional interest ahead of the ETF debut.
  • Technical analysis indicates a bullish pennant breakout, with potential targets of $0.28–$0.30 if momentum holds.

Dogecoin rallied sharply during the September 9–10 session, reclaiming the $0.24–$0.25 range with volume surging above 1.5 billion tokens. The move comes as REX-Osprey prepares to debut the first U.S. Dogecoin ETF on September 11 under the ticker “DOJE.”
Technical traders flagged a bullish pennant breakout pattern, while large-scale whale accumulation added to growing confidence that institutional demand is building around the launch.

News Background

• REX-Osprey DOGE ETF is scheduled to begin trading September 11, making it the first U.S. exchange-traded fund tracking a memecoin with no declared utility.
• Whale addresses accumulated roughly 280 million DOGE in the past week, indicating strong institutional-sized flows.
• Technical analysts highlight a pennant breakout with upside targets of $0.28–$0.30 if the $0.25 level is held.
• ETF speculation has driven retail and social media enthusiasm, with DOGE trending heavily on prediction markets and derivatives desks.

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Price Action Summary

• DOGE advanced 4% during the September 9 13:00–September 10 12:00 session, moving from $0.236 to a peak of $0.245.
• Early decline saw DOGE drop from $0.247 to $0.236 by 14:00, backed by massive 1.55B volume that set a strong floor.
• Price consolidated within $0.238–$0.242 through most of the day, suggesting strategic accumulation.
• Final hour breakout lifted DOGE from $0.240 to $0.245, underpinned by 114.7M volume at the peak.
• Session closed at $0.244, just shy of resistance, confirming bullish momentum into ETF launch week.

Technical Analysis

• Support: $0.236–$0.238 range validated by repeated high-volume rebounds.
• Resistance: $0.245–$0.247 remains the key ceiling; break above could target $0.28.
• Volume: Session highs of 1.55B and late-hour 114.7M significantly exceeded 24-hour average of 334M.
• Structure: Pennant breakout confirmed by higher lows and accelerating final-hour volumes.
• Indicators: RSI hovering mid-60s suggests room for further upside before overbought conditions emerge.

What Traders Are Watching

• Whether DOGE can sustain closes above $0.245 and set up a push toward $0.28.
• ETF launch on September 11, expected to be a structural liquidity event for DOGE.
• Whale accumulation trends — continued inflows would validate institutional conviction.
• Derivatives positioning as ETF hype builds, with potential for heightened volatility around launch.
• Broader crypto market sentiment tied to Federal Reserve policy decisions later in the month.

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