Bitcoin’s price declined to as low as $11,102 on spot exchanges such as Coinbase Tuesday, wiping out long derivatives traders on BitMEX. In just one hour, up to $5.6 million in leveraged positions were automatically liquidated, the crypto analog to a margin call.
BitMEX bitcoin liquidations in the past three days.
Daniel Ladinsky, trader at quantitative trading firm Efficient Frontier, worries that if price stays beneath $12,000 per one BTC for too long it may signal a larger downward trend. “BTC has been hovering below $12,000 for quite some time, which is a crucial zone,” Ladinsky told CoinDesk.
Michael Gord, CEO of cryptocurrency brokerage firm Global Digital Assets, sees Tuesday’s price dip as temporary profit-taking by some investors. ”Institutional traders take profits the whole way up to hedge their risk,” he said. ”We are now seeing more institutional traders take some of that profit and reallocate it into ‘riskier’ low- to medium-cap altcoins.”
One interesting development: Bitcoin locked in decentralized finance, or DeFi, is down a little bit after it had previously doubled in August, according to data aggregator DeFi Pulse.
Bitcoin locked in DeFi in the past month.
Efficient Frontier’s Ladinsky says traders continue to see more alluring profit opportunities in DeFi, which might help explain the decline. “Recently, the market has been quiet for BTC and most of the attention and hype is on the DeFi front, where coins are surging very hard,“ he said.
The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, etherETH$3,026.83, was down Tuesday, trading around $379 and slipping 5.9% in 24 hours as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).
Ethereum’s mining difficulty has hit a 2020 high, at 2,820 terahashes, its highest level since Dec. 13, 2019.
Ethereum mining difficulty so far in 2020.
The amount of gas, or the fee required to successfully conduct a transaction or execute a contract on the Ethereum blockchain, is at an all-time high, meaning the resources used per block are increasing. This means more miner revenue coming from fees and, as a result, more machines being turned on, causing mining difficulty to increase.
Ethereum mining percentage of revenue from fees in 2020.
Smart contract developers in the ecosystem like Jun Dam, who is working on a DeFi project based on the competing EOS platform, tell CoinDesk the Ethereum fee situation may be helping miners, but it isn’t benefiting anyone else. “ETH gas fees are not user- or developer-friendly,” Dam said.
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K33 Research says market fear is outweighing fundamentals as bitcoin nears key levels. December could offer an entry point for bold investors.
What to know:
K33 Research says bitcoin’s steep correction shows signs of bottoming, with December potentially marking a turning point.
The firm has argued that the market is overreacting to long-term risks while ignoring near-term signals of strength, like low leverage and solid support levels.
With likely policy shifts ahead and cautious positioning in futures, K33 sees more upside potential than risk of another major collapse.