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Bitcoin Cash Price Enters Recovery Mode After 4-Week Low

After mounting a high-volume recovery, the bitcoin cash cryptocurrency looks set to rebound, technical chart analysis suggests.

Updated Sep 13, 2021, 7:40 a.m. Published Mar 12, 2018, 1:30 p.m.
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is pushing higher against the greenback and could test the $1,200 mark soon, according to the technical charts.

As of writing, the world's fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is changing hands at $1,119 - up 3 percent on a 24-hour basis, according to data source CoinMarketCap. Prices had dropped to a four-week low of $938 on Friday, tracking the broader market sell-off.

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However, over the weekend, BCH moved back above the $1,000 mark, signaling a temporary low is in place at $938.

Also, yesterday's 14 percent rise in BCH was backed by a 38 percent jump in trading volumes, as per CoinMarketCap. A high volume recovery only adds credence to the argument that a short-term bottom has been made.

1-hour chart

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  • BCH has created a bull flag, a bullish continuation pattern, meaning an upside break would signal the continuation of the rally from the Friday's low of $914. BCH could then rise to $1,200 (psychological hurdle) and may extend gains to $1,240 - 161.8 percent Fibonacci extension.
  • Bullish crossover between the 50-hour MA (moving average) and 100-hour MA favors further upside in BCH prices.

That said, it is still too early to call a long-term bearish-to-bullish trend change as the cryptocurrency is still stuck inside a falling channel (series of lower highs and lower lows on the price chart).

Daily chart

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The previous day's bullish outside day candle adds credence to Friday's bullish hammer candle and suggests BCH will likely see an upside break of the bull flag pattern (seen in 1-hour chart) and move towards the falling channel resistance of $1,200.

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  • BCH looks set to test $1,200 over the next two-three days.
  • A daily close (as per UTC) above $1,200 would signal the sell-off from the record highs above $4,000 has ended and the bulls have regained control.
  • Meanwhile, a downside break of the bull flag would neutralize the immediate bullish outlook, while a daily close (as per UTC) below $914 (Friday's low) could yield a sell-off to $758.61 (Feb. 6 low).

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It's about a lot more than "zooming out." Supply overhangs and investor "muscle memory" regarding gold help explain bitcoin's poor absolute and relative performance.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin has failed so far to act as an inflation hedge or safe-haven asset, lagging badly behind gold, which has surged amid high inflation, wars, and interest rate uncertainty.
  • Crypto advocates argue that bitcoin’s weakness reflects a temporary supply overhang, investor “muscle memory” favoring familiar precious metals and its correlation with risk assets, rather than a collapse in long-term demand.
  • Many bitcoin proponents still see BTC as a superior long-term store of value and “digital gold,” predicting that, once traditional hard assets are overbought, capital will rotate into bitcoin, allowing it to “catch up” to gold.