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Bitcoin Holds Support at $27K-30K; Resistance at $35K

A brief relief bounce is likely, similar to what occurred in late February and late March.

Updated May 11, 2023, 4:55 p.m. Published May 23, 2022, 6:40 p.m.
Bitcoin daily chart shows support/resistance, with RSI on bottom. (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)
Bitcoin daily chart shows support/resistance, with RSI on bottom. (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)

Bitcoin (BTC) has traded in a tight range between $28,500 and $30,000 over the past week. Despite short-term swings, the cryptocurrency has managed to hold support above $27,000, which could keep some buyers active.

BTC was trading around $30,100 at press time Monday Eastern Time and is roughly flat over the past 24 hours.

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Momentum signals are improving on the daily chart, similar to what occurred in late February and late March. Further, the relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart continues to rise from oversold levels, which could point to a relief bounce in price.

Still, the daily RSI will need to rise above 50 to determine if a price bounce has staying power.

On the weekly chart, the RSI is the most oversold since March 2020, although momentum signals remain negative. That suggests upside could be limited for BTC, initially toward the $33,000-$35,000 resistance zone.

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Bitcoin long term holder supply hits 8 month low cycle breaks from historical patterns

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Repeated distribution waves from long-term holders highlight how this bitcoin cycle is breaking from historical norms.

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  • Bitcoin long-term holder supply has fallen to 14.34 million BTC, its lowest level since May, marking the third wave of long term holder selling this cycle after earlier distribution around ETF approvals and the move to $100,000 after President Trump's election win.
  • Unlike prior bull markets that saw a single blow off distribution phase, this cycle is characterized by multiple LTH sell waves that have been absorbed by the market.