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Bitcoin Oversold Within Downtrend; Resistance at $45K

Upside is limited as long-term technical indicators turned negative.

Updated May 11, 2023, 3:40 p.m. Published Jan 7, 2022, 7:15 p.m.
Bitcoin weekly price chart shows support/resistance levels (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)
Bitcoin weekly price chart shows support/resistance levels (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)

Bitcoin (BTC) remains in a two-month long downtrend, defined by a series of lower price highs.

The cryptocurrency was down about 9% over the past week as upside momentum continued to slow.

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There is minor support around $40,000, which could stabilize the current pullback. However, upside appears limited around the $45,000 resistance level. This means buyers could quickly take profits if a price bounce occurs.

The relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart is the most oversold since Dec.11, albeit within a price downtrend.

Over the long-term, BTC is vulnerable to further selling, especially if buyers fail to hold the $38,000-$40,000 support zone over the weekend. On the weekly chart, the RSI is not yet oversold, which suggests the downtrend remains intact.

Lower support is seen around $28,000, which is near the June 2021 low.

BTC is roughly two weeks away from registering a downside exhaustion signal, which typically precedes a countertrend price bounce. Still, similar oversold readings on the daily chart have been delayed as buyers remain on the sidelines.

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Lebih untuk Anda

Bitcoin derivatives point to broad price range play between $85,000-$100,000

rollercoaster, loop

BTC options flow points to expectations for a broad range play rather than a massive surge or crash.

Yang perlu diketahui:

  • Bitcoin's derivatives market shows stability, with strong support at $85,000 and resistance between $95,000 and $100,000.
  • Traders are selling put options at $85,000, indicating confidence that bitcoin won't fall below this level soon.
  • Call options are being sold at $100,000.