Bitcoin falls to $90K as altcoins suffer extended drawdown (Simon Hurry/Unsplash)
What to know:
Bitcoin fell below $90,000, remaining range-bound between $85,000 and $94,500, after a third failed attempt to penetrate $94,500
Altcoins underperformed, with zcash (ZEC), PUMP and DASH posting double-digit losses as low liquidity amplified downside moves following a $12 million ZEC long liquidation.
Macro pressure persisted, with U.S. equity futures edging lower and the dollar index rising more than 1% since Dec. 24, weighing on risk assets broadly.
Bitcoin BTC$66,988.52 fell back below $90,000, dropping sharply from a local high of $91,570 at 01:15 UTC to trade at its lowest level in five days.
The drawdown follows a third failure to break through $94,500 after attempts on Dec. 4 and Dec. 10, with price action mirroring that of the past six weeks.
STORY CONTINUES BELOW
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Bitcoin's trading range is now well defined between $85,000 and $94,500, with the zone providing some stability in recent weeks after prices tumbled on Oct. 6 from a record high of $126,220 to $80,600 by Nov. 21.
Altcoins underperformed on Thursday as privacy coin zcash ZEC$232.78 plunged by more than 16% between midnight UTC and 10:00. PUMP also suffered a double-digit decline over the same period.
U.S. equity index futures also fell. Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures are trading 0.27% and 0.29% lower, respectively, since midnight while the dollar index (DXY) continues its ascent. It has now risen by more than 1% since Dec. 24.
Derivatives positioning
Over $400 million in leveraged crypto futures bets have been liquidated in 24 hours, with bullish bets accounting for most of the tally, a sign that the leverage was skewed bearish.
Overall open interest (OI) in crypto futures has pulled back to $140 billion from more than $141 billion Wednesday, which was the highest in nearly two months.
OI in bitcoin futures increased by 2% alongside positive funding rates. Some traders seem to be buying the price dip.
OI in ETH, SOL, XRP, ZEC and SUI, in contrast, dropped, indicating capital outflows.
Funding rates for most major cryptocurrencies, except BNB, remain positive, indicating dominance of bullish long positions. In altcoins, LINK, XLM, AVAX and CC stand out with negative rates.
On Deribit, BTC and ETH puts continue to trade at a premium to calls, indicating persistent downside bias. The put bias, however, stands notably weakened in short-dated options compared with last month.
Block flows show strong investor bias for volatility strategies such as straddles and strangles in both bitcoin and ether. Ether flows also featured put spreads.
Token talk
Altcoins suffered one of the most grueling selloffs of recent weeks with ZEC, PUMP and DASH leading the way with drawdowns of above 10%.
DeFi was the worst performing sector, according to CoinDesk Indices data, with the DeFi index (DFX) posting a loss of 3.12% since midnight, closely followed by the memecoin index (CDMEME), which fell 3.09%.
The CoinDesk 20 dropped 2.23%, indicating larger market cap tokens fared better than the more speculative sectors.
This can be attributed to a continued void in liquidity and market depth across the altcoin ecosystem following a liquidation cascade in early October that evaporated $19 billion worth of derivatives positions.
The lack of liquidity was prevalent on Thursday as a $12 million long position was liquidated on zcash ZEC$232.78, causing exaggerated losses compared with the wider market as the order books lacked sufficient bids to absorb the position.
ZEC faces uncertainty after members of its development team quit following a clash with a nonprofit organization created to support the network.
CoinMarketCap's "altcoin season" indicator remains firmly in a bearish zone at 23/100, a far cry from in September when it topped 78/100.