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Dogecoin Falls 5% as Lower-Lows Pattern Aids Bearish Outlook

Updated Nov 5, 2025, 3:29 a.m. Published Nov 5, 2025, 3:29 a.m.
(CoinDesk Data)
(CoinDesk Data)

What to know:

  • Dogecoin fell 5% to $0.16, breaking critical support levels amid heavy institutional selling.

Dogecoin tumbled through major support zones on Tuesday, with heavy whale distribution and surging volume confirming institutional-led selling pressure as traders struggled to defend the $0.16 handle.

News Background

  • DOGE fell 5% to $0.16, breaking below critical support after an early-session failure to hold the $0.18 psychological level.
  • The token traded within a volatile $0.0185 range, with selling pressure intensifying throughout the day.
  • The steepest declines hit at 20:00 GMT, when trading volume spiked to 2.05 billion tokens — 94% above the daily average — as price sliced through the $0.1590 floor. The move reflected broad institutional distribution, corroborated by on-chain data showing $440 million in DOGE outflows from large-holder wallets.
  • DOGE reached a session low of $0.1528 before stabilizing near $0.1550, where dip-buying emerged. Recovery attempts were capped at $0.1700, confirming resistance near prior support zones.

Price Action Summary

  • A sharp V-shaped rebound appeared on short-term charts following the breakdown.
  • However, the bounce failed to sustain momentum, with price consolidating below $0.1620 as overhead resistance from the breakdown level held firm.
  • The late-session stabilization indicated temporary exhaustion among sellers but did not yet signal trend reversal.
  • Volume skew remained bearish, with selling activity still dominating aggregate flow data across major exchanges.

Technical Analysis

  • DOGE continues to trade in a lower-highs, lower-lows formation, maintaining clear bearish momentum within a broader descending structure.
  • The brief oversold rebound remains corrective rather than directional, with the overall pattern resembling a classic breakdown–pause sequence typical of distribution cycles.
  • Momentum oscillators remain negative across hourly timeframes, while the daily RSI has yet to recover from sub-40 levels.
  • Traders note that structural improvement would require sustained closes above $0.1650, invalidating the existing descending pattern.

What Traders Should Know

  • Traders are closely watching the $0.1550–$0.1555 area, which continues to act as short-term support.
  • A breakdown below this zone would expose $0.1520–$0.1500, where deeper liquidity pools exist from prior accumulation phases.
  • Conversely, recovery above $0.1630–$0.1650 is necessary to challenge the broken $0.1590 resistance and signal potential short-term relief.
  • For now, intraday action suggests ongoing distribution with limited momentum for sustainable upside follow-through.

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