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DOGE Slides 7.5% to $0.18, Triggering Technical Breakdown

Despite expectations for Q4 rallies, Dogecoin's market structure remains fragile, with traders watching if it can defend the $0.18 base.

Oct 30, 2025, 7:06 p.m.
(CoinDesk Data)
(CoinDesk Data)

What to know:

  • Dogecoin fell 6.8% on Tuesday, breaking below the $0.18 support level amid heavy whale outflows and increased trading activity.
  • On-chain data showed over $29 million in large transactions, including a significant transfer to Binance, contributing to the price decline.
  • Despite expectations for Q4 rallies, Dogecoin's market structure remains fragile, with traders watching if it can defend the $0.18 base.

Dogecoin extended losses through Tuesday’s session, plunging 6.8% to break below key $0.18 support as heavy whale outflows and elevated trading activity confirmed institutional distribution across meme coin markets.

News Background

  • DOGE fell sharply from $0.1934 to $0.1803 over the 24-hour session, breaking through multiple support levels within an 8.9% intraday range. The move came amid a 44% jump in trading activity above the seven-day average, marking one of the largest single-day volume expansions this month.
  • On-chain data revealed over $29 million in large transactions during the breakdown phase, including a $26.8 million transfer to Binance from a dormant whale address, coinciding with the session’s heaviest volume spike.
  • DOGE’s 3.25% underperformance versus the broader crypto market underscored sector rotation and profit-taking behavior among institutional participants despite risk-on sentiment across major assets.

Price Action Summary

  • Price action carved a sequence of lower highs from the $0.1972 peak, confirming exhaustion of prior bullish momentum. Support emerged around the $0.1780–$0.1800 band, where buyers briefly stabilized price after the breakdown.
  • Whale activity dominated order flow throughout the session, with inflows to exchanges accelerating during each rejection attempt.
  • The timing of these transfers matched precisely with intraday volume surges, validating their influence on DOGE’s downward trajectory.

Technical Analysis

  • DOGE’s structure shows a clear shift toward a distribution phase, with momentum oscillators turning bearish and price failing to recover above broken support levels.
  • The breakdown below $0.18 completed a short-term ascending wedge failure, confirming downside continuation. Volume analysis shows institutional-scale distribution, with the 1.17B turnover representing a 44% surge above weekly averages.
  • Technical resistance has reformed at $0.1950–$0.1970, while immediate support now lies near $0.1780–$0.1800.
  • The total intraday range of 8.9% highlights volatility consistent with unwinding of leveraged positions.
  • Momentum divergence persists on lower timeframes, suggesting further downside toward the $0.166 zone if current levels fail to hold.

What Traders Are Watching

  • Traders are focused on whether DOGE can defend the $0.18 base after multiple whale-led selloffs. Relief rallies toward $0.181–$0.182 are expected to meet selling pressure, with liquidity likely concentrated below prior resistance.
  • Derivatives data shows futures open interest down 61% from October highs, indicating the exit of leveraged participants but not yet confirming reaccumulation.
  • Despite seasonal optimism for Q4 meme coin rallies, DOGE’s market structure remains fragile, and near-term sentiment skews defensive until a confirmed reclaim above $0.19 restores technical stability.

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KuCoin captured a record share of centralised exchange volume in 2025, with more than $1.25tn traded as its volumes grew faster than the wider crypto market.

What to know:

  • KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
  • This performance translated into an all-time high share of centralised exchange volume, as KuCoin’s activity expanded faster than aggregate CEX volumes, which slowed during periods of lower market volatility.
  • Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
  • Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
  • Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.

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Bitcoin’s onchain data points to supply overhang and weak participation, while gold’s breakout is priced by markets as a durable macro regime shift.

What to know:

  • Gold’s surge above $5,000 an ounce is increasingly seen as a durable regime shift, with investors treating the metal as a persistent hedge against geopolitical risk, central bank demand and a weaker dollar.
  • Bitcoin is stuck near $87,000 in a low-conviction market, as on-chain data show older holders selling into rallies, newer buyers absorbing losses and a heavy supply overhang capping moves toward $100,000.
  • Derivatives and prediction markets point to continued consolidation in bitcoin and sustained strength in gold, with thin futures volumes, subdued leverage and weak demand for higher-beta crypto assets like ether reinforcing the cautious tone.