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Bitcoin Price Could Reach $45K by Christmas: Matrixport

When bitcoin’s performance is positive in January, the rally tends to continue through to the end of the year, the report said.

Updated Feb 2, 2023, 7:01 p.m. Published Feb 1, 2023, 8:32 a.m.
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U.S. institutions have probably been behind January’s rally in bitcoin (BTC), when the cryptocurrency gained more than 38%. An outperformance this early in the year tends to be bullish for the token’s price, crypto services provider Matrixport said in a research report Wednesday.

In five of the six years that bitcoin has rallied in January, the cryptocurrency has ended the year with positive returns. On average, the gain the rest of the year has been more than 245%, wrote Markus Thielen, head of research.

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The only year when bitcoin declined after a strong January was 2014, when prices had just made a bull-market peak, the note said.

Matrixport says the driver of the 2023 bull market could be the expected March 2024 bitcoin halving cycle, when the amount of the cryptocurrency entering the system every 10 minutes drops by 50%. Therefore, there is a high statistical probability that the bitcoin price could double from here until year end, the report said.

This means the bitcoin price could reach $45,000 by Christmas, the report added.

Read more: First Mover Asia: Lido DAO Governance Token Down, Staked Ether Stable, as Withdrawal Proposal Comes Into Focus; Bitcoin Rises as Fed Rate Decision Nears

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Ark Invest's Cathie Wood says bitcoin will thrive amid ‘deflationary chaos’ created by AI and innovation

Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood in a conversation with ProCap Financial CEO Anthony Pompliano at the Bitcoin Investor Week in New York. (CoinDesk)

Exponential tech will force down prices and stress legacy finance, for which bitcoin offers a trustless alternative, said Wood at Bitcoin Investor Week.

What to know:

  • Cathie Wood argues that bitcoin is a hedge not only against inflation but also against a coming wave of technology-driven, productivity-led deflation.
  • She says rapid cost declines in artificial intelligence and other exponential technologies will trigger "deflationary chaos" that traditional financial institutions and the Federal Reserve are unprepared for.
  • In her view, bitcoin’s decentralized design and fixed supply make it a safer alternative to fragile, debt-based financial systems that could be strained by deflation and disrupted business models.