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Crypto Markets Analysis: Bitcoin, Ether Top Weekly Leaderboard, but Some Indicators Suggest a Market Retreat
The two largest cryptocurrencies continued their strong start to 2023, but Bollinger bands have failed to reach the upper band for three, straight days.
Bitcoin and ether logged another week of positive gains in what has been a strong start to 2023. Prior to a late-Friday surge, the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization had risen 10.15% and 9.92% respectively, and 25% and 28% year to date.
On a relative basis, BTC and ETH’s seven-day performance landed them near the top of the leaderboard for the first time this year. Among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap, BTC’s performance was third among the group. ETH ranked fourth.
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The leaders on the week were solana and , which rose 24% and 10.7%, respectively. The biggest laggards were and monero , which fell 0.57% and 0.64%, respectively.
The dispersion between best and worst performance has narrowed significantly over the past 30 days. Where on Dec. 16 the poorest-performing assets logged seven-day losses in excess of 15%, this week’s laggard was essentially flat.
Crypto markets were trading higher on Friday as well. Markets were seemingly unaffected by the announcement that crypto lender (and CoinDesk sister company) Genesis had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.
Trading volumes were moderate for the day, indicating that some investors may simply be pausing as smoke from the bankruptcy announcement clears.
Next week, investors may want to look for BTC returning some of this week's gains.
On a technical basis, BTC has failed to reach the upper range of its Bollinger Bands for three consecutive trading days after doing so in each of the prior 10. The decline in volatility following the prior expansion, could be signs that traders are:
- Looking to take profits following the 30% year-to-date move
- Looking to protect against price declines related to the Genesis filing
Coindesk Market Index sector performance
Week-to-date performance among CMI sectors highlighted sluggish performance within the Computing (CPU), DeFi (DCF), and Culture and Entertainment (CNE) sectors.
The Digitization (DTZ) and Currency (CCY) sectors led the way with positive returns on the week.
CNE’s decline departs from recent performance, and still remains the top performing sector for the month. The index itself is designed to capture price movements of assets within the virtual world, gaming, metaverse, art and social network universe. Notable assets include AXIE, APE and LPT.
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Japan’s Higher Rates Puts Bitcoin in the Crosshairs of a Yen Carry Unwind
A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.
What to know:
- The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, the highest since 1995, affecting global markets including cryptocurrencies.
- A stronger yen could lead to de-risking in macro portfolios, impacting liquidity conditions that have supported bitcoin's recent recovery.
- Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated a high probability of a rate hike, with officials prepared for further tightening if their economic outlook supports it.
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