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Market Wrap: Cryptocurrencies Stabilize as Regulatory Concerns Rise
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are rangebound as analysts monitor regulatory developments.
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Cryptocurrencies were mostly lower on Friday after a volatile week. The sell-off appears to be stabilizing, although many alternative coins in the CoinDesk 20 are underperforming bitcoin over the past seven days.
Bitcoin was trading around $45,000 at press time and is down about 8% over the past week. Some analysts expect BTC to consolidate with support nearby at the 200-day moving average, although resistance remains strong around the $50,000 price level.
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“Tuesday’s liquidations were possibly exacerbated by the leverage embedded in the Ethereum market and the wider altcoin universe,” FundStrat, a global advisory firm, wrote in a newsletter published on Wednesday. “The macro and on-chain (blockchain) pictures remain consistent, and therefore we believe these mid-cycle liquidations are good opportunities to consolidate positions.”
Analysts and traders are also monitoring regulatory risk, which could damp sentiment in the crypto market.
Latest Prices
- Bitcoin : $45,701, -1.2%
- Ether : $3,326, -3.2%
- S&P 500: -0.8%
- Gold: $1,797, +0.3%
- 10-year Treasury yield closed at 1.339%
Regulatory concerns
Recent headlines suggest the global regulatory crackdown on cryptocurrencies is not over. On Thursday, the State Power Company of China announced that it is conducting inspections on bitcoin and other crypto mining facilities.
“The article stated that virtual currencies such as bitcoin waste energy and evade financial supervision, and have no clear legal status in China,” crypto newswire WuBlockchain tweeted.
Also on Thursday, Sweden’s Riksbank Governor Stefan Ingves warned that “private money usually collapses sooner than later” during a banking conference. Ingves also compared bitcoin to “trading in stamps” and expressed concerns about money laundering.
And last week, the European Securities and Markets Authority published a report stating that “crypto assets are highly volatile in price and operate outside of the existing EU (European Union) regulatory framework, which raises investor protection issues.”
Ether holds support
Ether, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is holding support above the $3,000 breakout level that was achieved in August. ETH declined from the $4,000 resistance level as buyers were unable to match the all-time price high around $4,360 reached in May.
For now, ETH appears to be oversold on short-term charts, and will likely consolidate into the weekend.
Analysts are also monitoring price levels where future liquidations could occur. “We can view the updated positioning of where liquidation thresholds exist and how traders have repositioned themselves post-crash,” Luke Posey, researcher at Glassnode, wrote in a blog post.
“We see that the next round of significant liquidations don’t start until the ETH $2,600 level,” Posey wrote.
Coinbase exchange volumes rise
Trading volume on Coinbase has risen to the highest level since May as investors broaden their crypto exposure beyond bitcoin.
“Our expectation is for this trend to continue given the normally volatile September/October periods not just in crypto but in global markets as a whole,” Coinbase wrote in a report to institutional clients on Friday.
Bitcoin, ether and Cardano’s ADA continue to dominate trading volumes on the Coinbase exchange. Meanwhile, “retail’s obsession with DOGE seems to be over for now as relative volumes in it are fairly lackluster (dark blue in the upper half of the graph),” Coinbase wrote.
Algorand’s ALGO token also saw a significant uptick in trading volume recently. ALGO is up about 60% over the past week, compared to an 8% loss in BTC over the same period.
Altcoin roundup
- Binance will support the Cardano hard fork scheduled for Sunday, Sept. 12: Cryptocurrency exchange Binance announced its support of Cardano’s hard fork, which will commence at approximately 21:44 UTC on Sunday. Deposits and withdrawal of ADA, the native token of Cardano, will be suspended at approximately 21:00 UTC and will be reopened once the exchange deems the upgraded network to be “stable.” The network upgrade is expected to bring smart-contract functionality to the Cardano mainnet, which is currently operating in a testnet environment. The exchange also noted that trading of ADA will not be affected.
- Miami’s SCOPE Art Show is selling VIP tickets as NFTs: The art festival is working with YellowHeart, a blockchain-based live event ticketing platform, to sell tickets in the form of non-fungible tokens (NFTs). NFTs have been a growing trend in the art and entertainment space by giving access to unique content and experiences and eliminating middlemen, according to CoinDesk’s Helene Braun.
- Olympian Apolo Ohno is being sued over his role in an alleged $50M ICO fraud: Former speed skater Apolo Ohno is being sued over his role in the now-defunct crypto exchange HybridBlock, which raised an estimated $50 million from the sale of HYB tokens in 2017. The civil suit against HybridBlock comes as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to hunt down fraudsters that took advantage of the largely unregulated initial coin offering (ICO) boom of 2017 and 2018.
Relevant news
- European Finance Regulator Calls Crypto ‘Volatile’ but Innovative
- IRS Makes New Crypto Broker Guidance a ‘Priority’ in 2021-22 Plan
- BIS Signals Central Banks to Start Work on CBDCs
- Swiss Stock Exchange Gets Regulatory Nod to Launch Digital Asset Exchange
Other markets
All the digital assets in the CoinDesk 20 ended the day lower.
Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):
- None
Notable losers:
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Circle’s biggest bear just threw in the towel, but warns the stock is still a crypto roller coaster
Circle’s rising correlation with ether and DeFi exposure drives the re-rating, despite valuation and competition concerns.
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- Compass Point’s Ed Engel upgraded Circle (CRCL) to Neutral from Sell and cut his price target to $60, arguing the stock now trades more as a proxy for crypto markets than as a standalone fintech.
- Engel notes that CRCL’s performance is increasingly tied to the ether and broader crypto cycles, with more than 75% of USDC supply used in DeFi or on exchanges, and the stock is still trading at a rich premium.
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