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Bitcoin’s major safety net just snapped. Why a drop below $85,000 might risk more selloff

Bitcoin price just fell through that price floor it's been bouncing off for two months. Now charts might be pointing to $75,000 as next level to watch.

Updated Jan 29, 2026, 6:09 p.m. Published Jan 29, 2026, 5:06 p.m.
How low can bitcoin price go? (Getty Images+/Unsplash)
How low can bitcoin price go? (Getty Images+/Unsplash)

What to know:

  • Bitcoin has fallen decisively below its 100-week simple moving average around $85,000, signaling that sellers have taken control after two months of support at that level.
  • Traders are now watching $75,000 as the next major support zone, where buyers previously stepped in last April to halt a downtrend.
  • A further slide could see bitcoin test its 200-week average near $58,000, while a sustained move above $95,000 would be needed to restore a bullish outlook.

Bitcoin just crashed through a price milestone it's been holding on to for two months, and sellers are calling the shots now.

That trusty milestone? Bitcoin's average price over the last 100 weeks. Since November, this so-called 100-week simple moving average has consistently acted as a safety net, a level at which buyers have continued to buy every dip for nine weeks straight.

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But today, prices have slipped below $85,000, convincingly moving below the 100-week average line, as seen in the chart below. The breakdown means sellers have overpowered all the buying power around the support, establishing a potential path lower.

BTC's price chart in candlestick format. (TradingView)
BTC's price chart. (TradingView)

So, where can the sell-off find the next wave of buyers?

In April last year, buyers emerged at around $75,000, stalling the selloff at the time, which makes it a key level to watch now.

Below that, the next support is at the 200-week average, which is at $58,000.

While chart patterns are popular, they don't always guarantee directional bets — just like any big-picture or fundamentals clue. Smart traders always watch for a key level that, if reclaimed, flips the bearish vibe on its head.

Right now, for bitcoin, that’s $95,000, a level where buyers kept getting outbid by sellers early this month and in December. The bullish case comes back to the table if prices surpass that level.

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Bitcoin could fall to $10,000 as U.S. recession risk builds, Mike McGlone says

Bitcoin bus (Photo: Olivier Acuna/Modified by CoinDesk)

McGlone links bitcoin’s downturn to record U.S. market cap-to-GDP levels, low equity volatility and rising gold prices, warning of potential contagion into stocks.

What to know:

  • Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warns that collapsing crypto prices and a potential bitcoin slide toward $10,000 could signal mounting financial stress and foreshadow a U.S. recession.
  • McGlone argues the post-2008 "buy the dip" era may be ending as crypto weakens, stock market valuations sit near century highs relative to GDP, and equity volatility remains unusually low.
  • Market analyst Jason Fernandes counters that a drop to $10,000 bitcoin would likely require a severe systemic shock and recession, calling such an outcome a low-probability tail risk compared with a milder reset or consolidation.