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Bitcoin Remains Rangebound; Faces Resistance at $40K

BTC is trading in a range with limited upside after a volatile month.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 2:47 p.m. Published Jun 2, 2021, 11:36 a.m.
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Bitcoin (BTC) has traded sideways over the past few days, with support around $33,000 and resistance at $40,000. The world's first cryptocurrency was trading near $37,000 at the time of writing and was down about 5% over the past seven days.

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A short-term breakout from the sideways range would yield an upside target around $45,000, although resistance remains strong. For now, $40,000 is a key hurdle which could limit buying strength over the near-term.

  • Bitcoin is approaching resistance near the 100-period moving average ($38,337 as of press time) on the hourly chart. The corrective phase that began in May remains in effect, although selling pressure has declined over the past week.
  • The relative strength index (RSI) is mostly neutral on a short to intermediate term basis which suggests price is starting to stabilize into June after a volatile month.
  • The broader uptrend is weakening as bitcoin remains below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. This suggests limited upside over the short-term.

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Japan’s Higher Rates Puts Bitcoin in the Crosshairs of a Yen Carry Unwind

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A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.

What to know:

  • The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, the highest since 1995, affecting global markets including cryptocurrencies.
  • A stronger yen could lead to de-risking in macro portfolios, impacting liquidity conditions that have supported bitcoin's recent recovery.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated a high probability of a rate hike, with officials prepared for further tightening if their economic outlook supports it.