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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Stabilizes Around $49K After Two Extremely Volatile Trading Days
There are signs some of the excessive leverage had been wrung out of the market, implying the potential for a fresh more to the upside, analysts said.
By Muyao Shen
Updated Mar 9, 2024, 2:02 a.m. Published Feb 24, 2021, 9:21 p.m.
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Bitcoin has reversed its biggest two-day loss since March 2020, as prices returned to as high as above $51,000 on Wednesday after the derivatives market calmed down from an over-leveraged condition.
- Bitcoin trading around $49,119.46 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 3.17% over the previous 24 hours.
- Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $47,032.52-$51,445.67 (CoinDesk 20)
- BTC trades below its 10-hour and 50-hour averages on the hourly chart, a bearish signal for market technicians.
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Bitcoin’s heavy losses earlier this week represented a retreat from price levels that some analysts characterized as euphoric.
But as prices stabilized around $49,000 on Wednesday, signs emerged that some of the excessive leverage had been wrung out of the market, implying the potential for a fresh more to the upside, analysts said.
The cost to fund bitcoin perpetuals swaps trades – a common way of betting on price movements in cryptocurrency markets, similar to futures contracts changes – have returned to “neutral territory,” according to the analysis firm Arcane Research. Prices even briefly traded above $51,000 on Wednesday after dipping below $45,000 on Tuesday.
Trading volumes on major exchanges have subsided following a furious level of activity in the past two days, with some $20 billion changing hands Monday and Tuesday on eight major exchanges tracked by CoinDesk. By late Wednesday, volume had registered just $4 billion.
On the technical charts, Wednesday has been an “inside day” for bitcoin, meaning the price range is completely within the bounds of prior day’s high-low range, according to Katie Stockton, a technical analyst for Fairlead Strategies.
“This preserves the pullback despite the $50,000 threshold having been cleared,” Stockton said. “It appears that there is a short-term risk to the latest breakout point at the January high just below $42,000, which would be a natural support level.”
Also supporting bitcoin’s quick recovery from the sell-off is rising demand from investors who bought the price dip, expecting long-term gains.
“Bitcoin has rebounded from yesterday's sell-off, with both retail and institutional investors using the fall in prices to add to their positions,” Simon Peters, crypto asset analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro, said, citing Square’s new $170 million investment in bitcoin.
MicroStrategy, the business intelligence company led by CEO Michael Saylor that recently has become better known for its bitcoin holdings, said Wednesday it has bought another $1.03 billion worth of the cryptocurrency.
“With yet more endorsements from leading figures in the world of finance and technology, the direction of travel longer-term is clear – bitcoin and its peers are here to stay and are getting more integrated in our lives,” Peters said. “This bodes well for future prices.”
Not just in the West. The demand in bitcoin has increased in China, evidenced by the rising price of dollar-pegged stablecoin tether denominated in Chinese yuan since last week,on over-the-counter trading desks.
Ether reverses losses from early sell-off
Ether , the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was higher on Wednesday, trading around $1,605.26 and climbing 5.55% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).
Ether continues to trade in sync with bitcoin and the correlation between the two cryptocurrencies has strengthened since Friday.
Meanwhile, ether is still overbought on the technical charts, indicating that further sideways or “choppy” price action is expected in the coming months, said Fairlead Strategies’ Stockton.
Other markets
Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mostly in green Wednesday. Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):
- chainlink + 12.65%
- cardano + 11.1%
- algorand (ALGO) + 10.39%
- ethereum classic (ETC) + 9.05%
- omg network (OMG) + 8.33%
Notable losers:
- cosmos (ATOM) - 1.97%
Equities:
- Asia’s Nikkei 225 closed in the red 1.61% amid losses on tech stocks, which are sensitive to rising yields.
- The FTSE 100 in Europe closed in the green 0.5% after investors became more optimistic about a post-pandemic economic recovery.
- The S&P 500 in the United States was up by 1.14% Wednesday, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reassured investors of his intention to maintain low interest rates.
Commodities:
- Oil was up 2.55%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $63.24.
- Gold was in the red 0.12% and at $1802.94 as of press time.
Treasurys:
- The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield climbed Wednesday jumping to 1.384%.
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