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Top Cryptos Edge Up as Derivatives Data Suggests Newfound Risk Aversion Among Traders
Bitcoin and ether climbed modestly late Wednesday as lighter crypto derivatives volumes signaled uncharacteristic caution among the market’s traders.
Updated Sep 14, 2021, 8:27 a.m. Published Apr 8, 2020, 9:16 p.m.
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Bitcoin and ether climbed modestly late Wednesday as lighter crypto derivatives volumes signaled uncharacteristic caution among the market’s traders.
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Over the past 24 hours, bitcoin was up 2.8 percent Wednesday afternoon New York time and ether was in the green 4.3 percent.
Bitcoin offshoots were among big winners on CoinDesk’s big board, including bitcoin gold (BTG) up a whopping 18 percent, bitcoin sv (BSV) climbing 16 percent and in the green 6 percent. BCH had its first halving of mining rewards Wednesday and BSV is expected to reach that milestone Friday. All 24-hour price changes are as of 20:50 UTC (4:50 PM EST) Wednesday.
In the traditional markets, Asia’s Nikkei 225 index closed up 2 percent. This continues a week in Japan where unprecedented stimulus amid the declaration of a state of emergency has not stopped markets from going up.
Europe’s FTSE 100 ended the day down slightly, at 0.28 percent. This erased two days of gains as U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson remains in intensive care for coronavirus-related health concerns.
Read more: Bitcoin Cash Undergoes ‘Halving’ Event, Casting Shadow on Miner Profitability
In the U.S., the S&P 500 closed New York’s trading day up an ebullient 3.4 percent. The Federal Reserve released minutes of its meeting Wednesday indicating the central bank will keep interest rates near zero in the face of long-term economic uncertainty.
After a drop Tuesday to the $7,000 level right after the U.S. markets closed almost flat, bitcoin jumped to a $7,100 level and is staying steady in a $7,100-$7,400 range.
Gold was down very slightly Wednesday, in the red 0.04 percent - but has been mostly flat the past few days. That sideways performance has traders doubting a breakout will come for gold as they expect for bitcoin.
“Bitcoin in general is much more volatile than gold so if we do get a breakout to the upside, it will outpace gold quickly,” said Siddhartha Jha, a former Wall Street analyst now focused on blockchain at startup Arbol.
Read more: How Imposters Scam Entrepreneurs Out of Their Crypto
As cryptocurrency’s bellwether asset, bitcoin is liable to move out of tight ranges pretty quickly - and a look at the derivatives market shows one intriguing trend.
Bitcoin/USD perpetual swap contract volume on derivatives exchange BitMEX, for example, has been trending lower.
However, bitcoin’s price has continued to rise since taking it on the chin almost a month ago.
“Volume has been in a methodical downtrend,” said Vishal Shah, a crypto options trader now building a derivatives platform called Alpha5. “This is while price has been inching higher. To me that says the market isn't sure what will happen and wants to be covered in either event. This is unusually responsible in this space.”
Of course, this risk-aversion might well have something to do with BitMEX’s March 12 bloodcurdling $700 million liquidation dump, which caused a furious amount of activity to subside.
It’s possible, though, that fewer, less-leveraged bets in derivatives could ease downward pressure on spot prices.
“Such prudential positioning likely favors sideways-to-higher markets, corroborating our view that the lows are in,” Shah added.
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KuCoin captured a record share of centralised exchange volume in 2025, with more than $1.25tn traded as its volumes grew faster than the wider crypto market.
What to know:
- KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
- This performance translated into an all-time high share of centralised exchange volume, as KuCoin’s activity expanded faster than aggregate CEX volumes, which slowed during periods of lower market volatility.
- Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
- Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
- Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.
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Key bitcoin price levels to watch as downward pressure builds
As bitcoin remains in a downtrend, several technical and onchain levels stand out as critical areas of support.
What to know:
- The 100-week moving average at $87,145 remains the main line of defense.
- Below this, the cost basis of U.S. spot bitcoin ETF buyers at $84,099 has provided support during recent consolidation.
- A sustained break below $80,000 would likely open the door to a revisit of the April 2025 low near $76,000.
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