Kalshi

Kalshi

Policy

Congress hits Polymarket and Kalshi with a massive insider trading probe

Rep. James Comer is demanding internal records from the prediction market CEOs, warning that government employees could be using classified information to make “huge profits”.

congress. (Shutterstock)

Markets

India cracks down on prediction markets: Polymarket goes dark, Kalshi could be next

Polymarket has gone dark in India and as per local media reports, Kalshi could be next.

India's flag (Naveed Ahmed / Unsplash)

Policy

U.S. CFTC secures deal with National Hockey League on prediction market safeguards

A new arrangement has been set between the derivatives regulator and professional hockey, following on the heels of a similar baseball agreement.

San Jose Sharks' Macklin Celebrini (right)

Finance

Kalshi confirms $1 billion raise at $22 billion valuation amid prediction market boom

Institutional trading volume surged 800% over the past six months on the platform, while annualized trading activity reached $178 billion despite growing regulatory scrutiny.

Kalshi co-founders Luana Lopes Lara and Tarek Mansour (Kalshi)

Markets

The Green Beret was just the start: New data suggests military insider trading crisis on Polymarket

New data shows unusually high win rates in defense bets, building on research that 3% of traders drive prices and under 1% capture most profits.

(Ryuno/Unsplash)

Finance

XO Market bets on user-generated prediction markets to rival Polymarket and Kalshi

Backed by 20VC, Picus Capital and Coinbase Ventures; XO lets users create and profit from their own prediction markets, and plans to rollout a new vault product to democratize market making.

Ali Habbabeh and Walid Al Habboul, co-founders of XO Market.

Markets

A tiny group is winning on Polymarket as under 1% of wallets take half the profits

After research showed a small minority moves prices, new data suggests an even smaller group captures roughly half of all gains.

(Julian Hochgesang/Unsplash)

Policy

CFTC sues Wisconsin in agency's legal campaign defending prediction markets authority

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission added Wisconsin to the list of states it's sued over event-contract jurisdiction, most recently New York.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback

The federal regulator has been suing states that seek to curtail prediction markets activity and claim it should be deemed state-regulated gaming.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

Policy

Wisconsin joins prediction market fight, suing Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket, Robinhood and Crypto.com

The state's complaint highlights language used by prediction market platforms as language for gambling, not investing.

CoinDesk