이 기사 공유하기
Bitcoin, Gold Could Benefit From Rising Geopolitical Tension and U.S. Election: JPMorgan
Geopolitical risk and the upcoming U.S. election are likely to reinforce the 'debasement trade,' to the benefit of both bitcoin and gold, the report said.
- Bitcoin and gold to benefit from growing geopolitical tension and the U.S. election, the report said.
- JPMorgan said a Trump election win would likely reinforce the 'debasement trade.'
- Markets have not yet priced in a Trump victory, the bank said.
Geopolitical tension and the upcoming U.S. presidential election will likely underpin the 'debasement trade,' and this favors both bitcoin and gold, JPMorgan (JPM) said in a research report on Wednesday.
"A Trump win in particular, apart from being supportive of bitcoin from a regulatory point of view, would likely reinforce the 'debasement trade' both via tariffs (geopolitical tensions) and via an expansionary fiscal policy ('debt debasement')," analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote.
STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Markets aren't pricing in a victory for the former president just yet. The chances of a Trump election win are currently priced in with a low probability looking at other asset classes other than gold and bitcoin, the report said, adding that this is because investors have been preoccupied with the recession trade in recent months.
If the "Trump trade" plays out in a similar way to 2016, there should be higher U.S. Treasury yields, a stronger dollar, U.S. stock market outperformance, in particular banks, and tighter credit spreads, JPMorgan said. This shift has not happened yet, with only a small move higher seen in these markets.
JPMorgan noted that in the six month window around the 2016 American election, 5-year Treasury yields rose 1%, the Dollar Index (DXY) surged 8%, U.S. equities outperformed to the tune of 6%, banks beat the rest of of S&P 500 stock index by 15% and high grade corporate credit spreads tightened significantly.
Bitcoin is not a safe haven against geopolitical risks, investment bank Standard Chartered said in a report yesterday.
Read more: Bitcoin Not a Safe Haven From Geopolitical Risks, but Still Buy the Dip: Standard Chartered
More For You
What to know:
- As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
- GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
- Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.
More For You
State Street and Galaxy to Launch Tokenized Liquidity Fund on Solana in 2026
The fund will run on Solana at launch and use PYUSD.
What to know:
- State Street and Galaxy plan to launch SWEEP in early 2026, using PYUSD for around-the-clock investor flows on Solana.
- Ondo Finance committed about $200 million to seed the tokenized liquidity fund, which will later expand to other chains.
- The firms say the product brings traditional cash-management tools onto public blockchains for qualified institutions.
Top Stories
