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Bitcoin Declines Within Range; Could Find Support at $30K

Bitcoin buyers are in profit-taking mode given strong overhead resistance.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 2:57 p.m. Published Jul 2, 2021, 11:26 a.m. 1 min read
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Bitcoin (BTC) selling continued during Asia hours as buyers failed to hold initial support at $34,000. Lower support is seen at $30,000, which could stabilize the current sell-off.

The downtrend since April has limited price recoveries and kept bitcoin in a tight range between $30,000 and $40,000 over the past month. However, momentum signals suggest selling pressure has weakened since the May correction, which could keep buyers active at support.

Bitcoin was trading around $32,000 at press time and is up about 4% over the past week.

  • The relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart registered a series of higher lows since May 19. This indicates a bullish divergence which could stabilize the intermediate term downtrend in price.
  • Typically, a bullish divergence precedes a price bounce. It’s possible that bitcoin’s 20% price rise from the June 22 shakeout low around $29,000 completed the divergence signal.
  • Bitcoin will need to break above the 50-day moving average around $37,000 to encourage further upside beyond $40,000.
  • For now, buyers continue to take profits given strong overhead resistance on the chart.

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Open Interest by Strike Price (Deribit)

Deribit’s bitcoin open interest has overtaken BlackRock’s IBIT as traders brace for a showdown between $75K max pain and $80K call positioning.

Yang perlu diketahui:

  • A total of 80,535 contracts worth $6.25 billion are set to settle on Deribit on May 29.
  • The $75,000 strike holds the largest put concentration at $394 million in notional value, while the $80,000 call strike dominates on the upside with $532 million.
  • The put/call ratio of 0.86 reflects a...