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Bitcoin Holds Short-Term Support; Faces Resistance at $40K

BTC re-tested minor support around $30,000 over the weekend, but stronger support is seen around $27,000.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:21 p.m. Published May 24, 2021, 11:29 a.m.
Bitcoin four-hour chart

Bitcoin (BTC) remained under pressure over the weekend as traders react to China’s latest news about tightening crypto regulation. The cryptocurrency is down about 36% month to date and was trading around $37,000 at the time of writing. Price recoveries should remain limited to $40,000 as the broader uptrend weakens.

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Slowing momentum has been the dominant theme this year as bitcoin failed to maintain all-time highs. Long term sell signals were in place before headlines accelerated price declines, which preceded a gradual and then sudden capitulation of long positions.

  • The relative strength index (RSI) on the four-hour chart has struggled to break above neutral over the past week. In a downtrend, oversold readings can persist for extended periods, which suggests a lack of significant support levels.
  • Bitcoin re-tested minor support around $30,000 over the weekend, but stronger support is seen around $27,000.
  • BTC is trading below the 100-day moving average and the correction does not appear exhausted at current levels. This means sellers should remain active as bitcoin struggles to break above $40,000.

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KuCoin Hits Record Market Share as 2025 Volumes Outpace Crypto Market

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KuCoin captured a record share of centralised exchange volume in 2025, with more than $1.25tn traded as its volumes grew faster than the wider crypto market.

What to know:

  • KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
  • This performance translated into an all-time high share of centralised exchange volume, as KuCoin’s activity expanded faster than aggregate CEX volumes, which slowed during periods of lower market volatility.
  • Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
  • Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
  • Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.

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Bitcoin and ether volatility trading gets easier with Polymarket's new contracts

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Polymarket has launched new prediction markets tied to Volmex's bitcoin and ether 30-day implied volatility indices.

What to know:

  • Polymarket has launched new prediction markets tied to Volmex's bitcoin and ether 30-day implied volatility indices, allowing users to bet on how high volatility will get in 2026.
  • The contracts pay out if volatility indices reach or exceed a preset level by Dec. 31, 2026, letting traders wager on the intensity of price swings rather than market direction.
  • Early trading implies roughly a one-in-three chance that bitcoin and ether volatility will nearly double from current levels.