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Dogecoin Consolidates Below $0.21 With Cup-and-Handle Pattern Emerging

Institutional positioning and derivatives data indicate growing speculative interest, with futures activity climbing 9% over the past 24 hours.

Updated Oct 28, 2025, 5:33 a.m. Published Oct 28, 2025, 5:32 a.m.
(CoinDesk Data)
(CoinDesk Data)

What to know:

  • Dogecoin maintained stability near the $0.20 level, showing modest gains despite lagging behind the broader market.
  • Institutional interest in Dogecoin is growing, with a 9% increase in futures activity and 70% of participants positioned long.
  • Technical analysis indicates a potential bullish continuation if Dogecoin breaks above $0.2088, targeting the $0.25–$0.27 range.

Dogecoin held firm near the psychological $0.20 level during Tuesday’s session, posting modest gains on above-average volume even as it trailed broader market performance. Institutional positioning and derivatives data indicate growing speculative interest, with futures activity climbing 9% over the past 24 hours.

News Background

DOGE advanced 1.13% to $0.1999, outperforming key support expectations but underperforming the CD5 index by 2.55%. The move came amid heightened trading engagement, with total volume rising 11.26% above the seven-day average. Despite the relative lag, DOGE’s ability to maintain composure around the $0.20 threshold underscores market resilience following last week’s volatile swings.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
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Institutional sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. Derivatives data show a 9% increase in open interest over the past day, with roughly 70% of participants positioned long. The pattern aligns with recent institutional accumulation themes across high-beta digital assets, as capital rotates into risk exposure while macro indicators stabilize.

Price Action Summary

DOGE’s intraday structure featured significant two-way activity. The token fell early from $0.2081 to $0.2001 before stabilizing, logging a 96% above-average volume spike to 599.1 million during the $0.2045 breakdown. The sharp decline confirmed seller control near $0.2088 resistance before consolidating in the $0.2000–$0.2015 corridor.

By late session, volume tapered as DOGE found footing above $0.2000. The price action displayed classic consolidation traits following volatility exhaustion, suggesting market makers are rebuilding liquidity before the next directional move. Notably, support held firm at the psychological round number, reflecting continued demand despite broader risk-off flows across the crypto complex.

Technical Analysis

The technical setup presents a well-defined support cluster between $0.18–$0.20, reinforced by repeated successful defenses at the $0.1999 handle. Resistance remains prominent between $0.2045–$0.2088, where prior distribution events capped upside attempts.

Medium-term charts reveal an emerging cup-and-handle formation, with the “handle” now developing through this consolidation phase. A confirmed breakout above $0.2088 would validate the bullish continuation structure targeting the $0.25–$0.27 range.

Momentum indicators show neutral readings. RSI hovers near 52, suggesting balanced conditions, while MACD maintains a shallow positive divergence — a pattern consistent with controlled accumulation rather than speculative blowoff.

What Traders Should Watch

DOGE’s consolidation within the $0.20 zone continues to act as a critical inflection area. Traders are monitoring whether the 9% surge in futures open interest translates into directional momentum or merely reflects short-term hedging flows. Sustained closes above $0.2045 would signal a shift in structure, potentially igniting a short-covering rally toward $0.25.

Alternatively, a breakdown below $0.1990 could trigger liquidity cascades toward $0.18, where long-term buyers have historically defended key support. The balance between these zones will determine DOGE’s near-term trend integrity.

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KuCoin Hits Record Market Share as 2025 Volumes Outpace Crypto Market

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KuCoin captured a record share of centralised exchange volume in 2025, with more than $1.25tn traded as its volumes grew faster than the wider crypto market.

What to know:

  • KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
  • This performance translated into an all-time high share of centralised exchange volume, as KuCoin’s activity expanded faster than aggregate CEX volumes, which slowed during periods of lower market volatility.
  • Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
  • Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
  • Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.

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Key bitcoin price levels to watch as downward pressure builds

True Market Mean Price (Glassnode)

As bitcoin remains in a downtrend, several technical and onchain levels stand out as critical areas of support.

What to know:

  • The 100-week moving average at $87,145 remains the main line of defense.
  • Below this, the cost basis of U.S. spot bitcoin ETF buyers at $84,099 has provided support during recent consolidation.
  • A sustained break below $80,000 would likely open the door to a revisit of the April 2025 low near $76,000.