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Bitcoin ETFs Witness Third Highest Outflow Since Launch, the Other Two Times Foreshadowed Price Bottoms
Bitcoin's price has now corrected approximately 6% since the all-time high break on Nov. 13.
- U.S. spot-listed ETFs saw their third biggest outflow since launch, over $400 million.
- Each time we see an outflow greater than $400 million, we have seen a local bottom in price, which can be seen on May 1 and Nov. 4.
U.S.-listed bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw their third-largest outflow since launch, seeing $400.7 million being drained on Thursday, according to Farside data.
During yesterday's trading, bitcoin witness low of around $86,600 and highs of near $92,000. Bitcoin has corrected nearly 6% from its all-time high on Nov. 13, when it pushed past $93,000.
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This price action isn't too concerning, as typically, once bitcoin sets new all-time highs, investor tend to take out their profits. In the past three days investors have cashed in $15 billion, according to Glassnode data. Bitcoin has soared over 25% since Donald Trump was elected the new U.S. president, earlier in the month.
BlackRock's IBIT saw inflows of $126.5 million, continuing the trend of strong inflows since Nov. 7. However, Fidelity's FBTC saw outflows of $179.2 million, Bitwise BITB saw $113.9 million being drained, Ark's ARKB bled $161. 7 million, while both Grayscale products saw combined outflows of $74.9 million.
Since the launch of the ETFs, Thursday was the third worst day for the bitcoin-linked products. Interestingly, the other two times the ETFs saw outflows of over $400 million was on Nov. 4 ($541.1 million), just prior to the U.S. election, and May 1 ($563.7 million). On Nov. 4, bitcoin bottomed around $67,000 before going on a tear all the way to over $93,000. While the May low coincide with a bottom at just under $60,000.
We will have to wait and see if the ETF flows signal another bottom and history repeats itself.
On the other hand, ether ETFs saw their first outflow in nearly two weeks, with investors taking out $3.2 million.
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A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.
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