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Bitcoin Drifts Lower, Support at $25K-$27K

BTC is roughly flat over the past week. Technical signals suggest a neutral to bearish outlook.

Updated May 11, 2023, 4:55 p.m. Published May 20, 2022, 5:28 p.m.
Bitcoin's weekly chart shows support/resistance. (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)
Bitcoin's weekly chart shows support/resistance. (Damanick Dantes/CoinDesk, TradingView)

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to struggle around the lower end of a yearlong trading range. The cryptocurrency could find support at $25,000 and $27,000, although there is risk of additional breakdowns in price.

BTC was trading at $28,800 at press time and is down by 4% over the past 24 hours and roughly flat over the past week. Recent returns reflect choppy trading conditions with no sense of direction.

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Momentum signals remain mixed despite oversold conditions on the charts. That suggests a neutral to bearish outlook over the next few days.

Lower support is seen at the 200-week moving average, which is currently at $21,954. A break below that level would yield a downside target toward $17,673, which would be a 74% drop from the all-time high of nearly $69,000 achieved last November. Bitcoin fell 83% peak-to-trough in the 2018 bear market.

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Bitcoin rises above $89,000, showing rare gain in U.S. trading

BTCUSD (TradingView)

Open interest data suggests the advance is likely short-covering, rather than fresh longs entering the market.

What to know:

  • Bitcoin was trading higher during U.S. market hours, marking a notable shift after a month in which BTC fell roughly 20 percent cumulatively while American stocks were open.
  • Declining open interest suggests the move is driven by short-covering rather than fresh leveraged longs.
  • Broader crypto markets remain fragile as ETF outflows, tax-related positioning, and light holiday liquidity pressure prices.