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Bitcoin, Ether, Solana Likely to See 3%- 5% Price Swings on FOMC Rate Decision, Volmex's Data Suggests
These figures might be scary for equity or currency traders but do not represent a major deviation from the normal in the crypto market.
Updated Mar 19, 2025, 1:38 p.m. Published Mar 19, 2025, 1:05 p.m.
What to know:
- The Federal Open Market Committee is set to publish its rate review, growth and inflation projections, and interest rate forecast, which could cause 3% to 5% price swings in bitcoin, ether, and solana.
- The central bank is expected to maintain the benchmark borrowing cost and signal an end to its prolonged quantitative tightening program.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy-making body, is slated to publish its rate review later in the day, along with growth and inflation projections and interest rate forecast.
The widely-watched event is likely to breed crypto market volatility, spurring 3% to 5% price swings in bitcoin , ether and solana . That's the message from Volmex's one-day implied volatility indices tied to BTC, ETH and SOL.
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At 12:30 UTC, the bitcoin one-day IV index (BVIV) signaled an annualized volatility of 63.32%, equating to an expected 24-hour price swing of 3.31%. The daily move is calculated by dividing the annualized figure by the square root of 365, the total number of trading days in a year.
Similarly, ether and solana volatility indices suggested 24-hour price swings of 5.25% and 5.73%, respectively.
These figures might be scary for equity or currency traders but do not represent a major deviation from the normal in the crypto market. In other words, the Fed event, though pivotal, is unlikely to result in an immediate volatility explosion.
The central bank is widely expected to keep the benchmark borrowing cost steady while signaling an end of its prolonged quantitive tightening program. However, gains in risk assets may be tempered by a potential stagflationary adjustment in the summary of economic projections.
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Bitcoin’s Deep Correction Sets Stage for December Rebound, Says K33 Research
K33 Research says market fear is outweighing fundamentals as bitcoin nears key levels. December could offer an entry point for bold investors.
What to know:
- K33 Research says bitcoin’s steep correction shows signs of bottoming, with December potentially marking a turning point.
- The firm has argued that the market is overreacting to long-term risks while ignoring near-term signals of strength, like low leverage and solid support levels.
- With likely policy shifts ahead and cautious positioning in futures, K33 sees more upside potential than risk of another major collapse.
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