Cardano Retests Key Support As SEC Delays ETF Decision – Is An October Rally Brewing?

Rubmar Garcia

Last Updated: August 27, 2025 8:00 am

3 mins read

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As the decision on Grayscale’s spot Cardano (ADA) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has been delayed, the altcoin is retesting a key area. Some analysts have suggested that a massive rally is brewing after the price bounced from the range lows.

Cardano Drops As Spot ETF Gets Delayed

On Tuesday, Cardano started to recover from its start-of-week correction after bouncing from a crucial area. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $0.84-$0.96 price range since its breakout in early August, reaching a five-month high of $1.02 on August 14.

During the recent market pullbacks, ADA has retested the $0.85 area as support multiple times and has been attempting to reclaim the $0.90 resistance, momentarily holding this level over the weekend.

However, Monday’s correction, which saw Bitcoin drop to its lowest level in over a month, sent Cardano back to the range lows, briefly losing the $0.84 support before starting to recover.

Amid the retracement, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) delayed the deadline for Grayscale’s spot Cardano Exchange-Traded Fund for two months.

“The Commission is extending the time period for approving or disapproving the proposed rule change for an additional 60 days. The Commission finds it appropriate to designate a longer period within which to issue an order approving or disapproving the proposed rule change so that it has sufficient time to consider the proposed rule change and the issues raised therein,” the regulatory agency explained in the Monday filing.

Accordingly, the SEC has postponed the final decision deadline to October 26, 2025. This follows the Commission’s recent two-month delays of many crypto-based ETFs.

Earlier this month, the regulatory agency announced it had pushed back the decision deadline for multiple spot Solana ETFs, including Grayscale’s, to October 16. Similarly, it extended the review deadline of several spot XRP and PENGU ETFs for late October.

ADA Breakout Coming Soon?

Analyst Crypto Bullet highlighted that Cardano appears to be repeating its playbook from the last cycle. After the 2017-2018 run, ADA accumulated in a multi-year range, forming a double bottom pattern between 2019 and 2020.

Following the late 2020 breakout, the cryptocurrency reclaimed the range’s upper boundary before retesting this level as support and starting its massive run toward ADA’s $3.09 all-time high (ATH) in the following months.

According to the analyst, Cardano’s performance over this cycle has followed a similar path, with the breakout and retest from the multi-year accumulation occurring between late 2023 and early 2024.

During the Q4 2024 rally, the altcoin bounced from the range’s upper boundary, and it’s currently in the re-accumulation period that would precede a massive pump in the coming months, if history repeats.

To Crypto Bullet, “one last leg is coming,” with a potential final target between the $1.70-$2.10 area, according to the analyst.

Meanwhile, market watcher Sebastian highlighted that ADA’s current performance will “mostly depend on what Bitcoin does,” suggesting that the flagship crypto will likely see a bigger retracement soon.

He pointed out that the altcoin has been trading within a bullish flag since the early August breakout, with the upper boundary sitting around the $0.90 area.

If it doesn’t reclaim this level, the cryptocurrency would risk a pullback to the lower trendline around $0.80. However, if Cardano breaks out of the bullish formation, it could rally to the $1.20 target.

As of this writing, ADA is trading at $0.87, a 4% increase in the daily timeframe.

Cardano, ADA, ADAUSDT — Cardano’s performance in the one-week chart. Source: ADAUSDT on TradingView

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Rubmar Garcia

Rubmar is a writer and translator who has been a crypto enthusiast for the past four years. Her goal as a writer is to create informative, complete, and easily understandable pieces accessible to those entering the crypto space. After learning about cryptocurrencies in 2019, Rubmar became curious about the world of possibilities the industry offered, quickly learning that financial freedom was at the palm of her hand with the developing technology.

From a young age, Rubmar was curious about how languages work, finding special interest in wordplay and the peculiarities of dialects. Her curiosity grew as she became an avid reader in her teenage years. She explored freedom and new words through her favorite books, which shaped her view of the world. Rubmar acquired the necessary skills for in-depth research and analytical thinking at university, where she studied Literature and Linguistics. Her studies have given her a sharp perspective on several topics and allowed her to turn every stone in her investigations.

In 2019, she first dipped her toes in the crypto industry when a friend introduced her to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, but it wasn’t until 2020 that she started to dive into the depth of the industry. As Rubmar began to understand the mechanics of the crypto sphere, she saw a new world yet to be explored.

At the beginning of her crypto voyage, she discovered a new system that allowed her to have control over her finances. As a young adult of the 21st century, Rubmar has faced the challenges of the traditional banking system and the restrictions of fiat money.

After the failure of her home country’s economy, the limitations of traditional finances became clear. The bureaucratic, outdated structure made her feel hopeless and powerless amid an aggressive and distorted system created by hyperinflation. However, learning about decentralization and self-custody opened a realm of opportunities. Cryptocurrencies allowed her to experience financial control for the first time and expand her financial education.

Moreover, the peculiar nature of the crypto community sparked Rubmar’s curiosity about the other layers of the industry. As a result, she found a particular interest in discovering the diverse perspectives of investors, market watchers, experts, and developers. Her attempts to better understand the crypto space made her realize the strong links of the community with other industries, enriching her perspective of the sector. As someone who spends most of her day online, Rubmar enjoys finding the points where the crypto world meets with her other passions and hobbies –or her favorite memes.

In her free time, she usually finds joy in different art forms. As a child, she enlisted in every extra-curricular activity in her hometown, including music classes, dancing, jewelry making, and the local chorus. Despite her many attempts to learn different instruments, Rubmar only knows how to play the xylophone, which she played for 7 years in her school’s marching band.

She also has a passion for learning new languages and cultures, having set the goal to learn another six languages – currently attempting to learn Italian and Korean. Scrapbooking, paper crafting, and bookbinding are her biggest interests outside of work, constantly taking classes and attending workshops to learn new techniques. The rest of her free time is spent stressing over football matches and transfer market news or feeding cats –hers or stray.

In summary, Rubmar seeks to present entertaining and educational pieces to be enjoyed by everybody, aiming to report on the latest news and offer a unique perspective while adding a meme or a pun whenever possible.

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