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Over the years, different trends have emerged for the Bitcoin price depending on how the month ends, either in the green or in the red. September has been historically bearish, but the few times that the month has ended in the green, there have been bullish implications for the cryptocurrency. As this month is already shaping up to end in the green, this report takes a look at what has happened in previous years when the month of September has been green.
Expect Bullishness From Bitcoin Price If September Closes Green
In an X post, crypto analyst Rekt Fencer highlighted an interesting trend in the Bitcoin price when the month of September has been favorable. This trend has to do with what happened in the years when September closed in the green, ushering in an even more bullish month of October.
According to CryptoRank data, in the last 14 years, only five months of September have closed in the green. Out of these five instances, in four cases, the bullish close opened up a more bullish move for October. A close example is the last two years of 2023 and 2024, both seeing the months of September close in the green.
September 2023 ended with a 3.99% gain for the Bitcoin price, and the next month saw Bitcoin rally 28.5% in response. A similar case was recorded in September 2024 after the Bitcoin price saw a gain of 7.11% and the subsequent month of October ended with an 11.2% gain for the cryptocurrency.
Going further back, September 2015 ended with a 2.52% gain for the Bitcoin price, and then October 2015 saw a 33.1% gain. Similarly, September 2016 ended with a 5.94% Bitcoin price gain, and October 2016 saw a 14.9% gain. Only the year 2012 has seen a deviation from this trend, after a 13.1% close in September ended with a 9.96% loss in October.
What Happens If This Trend Repeats?
A reoccurrence of this trend would mean that the Bitcoin price could be headed for double-digit gains in the month of October. So far, the cryptocurrency is already seeing gains of 6.24% and if this holds, then the bulls could establish a stronghold for a continuation next month.
Add in the fact that the month of October is one of the most bullish months in the history of Bitcoin, and it is already brewing a recipe for success. There is still the possibility of a price decline as profit-taking could ramp up quickly at these levels. However, with institutional inflows on the rise, the Bitcoin price could see a favorable last quarter of the year.
