Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Comes Alive As FTX Collapse Shakes Market

Keshav Verma

Last Updated: June 11, 2024 8:05 am

3 mins read

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Data shows the Bitcoin 7-day volatility has come alive during the last week as the collapse of crypto exchange FTX has shaken up the market.

Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Has Spiked To Values Above 7%

According to the latest weekly report from Arcane Research, the current 7-day volatility levels are the second highest seen in this year.

The “volatility” is an indicator that keeps track of the average daily returns in the price of Bitcoin over a specific period of time.

While this timespan can be of any length, the “7-day” and “30-day” versions of the metric are the most natural.

A notable feature of the volatility indicator is that it only measures returns using the closing prices on each day. This implies that any intraday market movements aren’t accounted for by the metric, so as long as the price returns to the norm by the end of the day.

When the volatility has a high value, it means the price of the crypto has fluctuated a lot recently. On the other hand, low values suggest the BTC market has been displaying stale activity.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin 7-day and 30-day volatilities over the past year:

Looks like the values of the metrics have spiked up in recent days | Source: Arcane Research's Ahead of the Curve - November 15

As you can see in the above graph, both the 7-day and 30-day versions of the Bitcoin volatility have observed a sharp increase recently.

Before this rise, the indicator had very low values for a month or so, with the 7-day version especially reaching historical lows of 1%.

The collapse of FTX and the resulting market crash is behind the crypto’s sudden turn to volatile nature during the last week.

The 7-day volatility has surged above the 7% mark, reaching levels only behind the yearly high of June, when 3AC went bankrupt.

Historically, Bitcoin has become calmer following big spikes in the volatility like the one being observed right now.

However, the report notes that the current market environment is filled with contagion-related uncertainty and abnormal positioning in derivatives, so the market will likely continue to be volatile in the coming days.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $16.7k, down 5% in the last week. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 12% in value.

The below chart shows the trend in BTC’s price over the last five days.

The value of the crypto seems to still be consolidating around $16.7k | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Featured image from Jievani Weerasinghe on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, Arcane Research

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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