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Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced major growth in 2025, reaching an unprecedented peak of nearly $118,900. This surge reflects a 25% increase year-to-date (YTD), significantly outpacing the S&P 500, which has seen a more modest 6% return.
Bitcoin Price Peak Expected In September
Despite this apprehension, Standard Chartered is projecting further significant increases for Bitcoin in the upcoming quarters of 2025. Historically, the cryptocurrency’s price movements have been closely tied to its Halving cycles.
A Bitcoin Halving occurs every 210,000 blocks mined—approximately every four years—reducing the mining reward by half. This event typically heightens demand as miners earn less, often driving prices upward.
The firm highlights that following each of the previous Halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020, Bitcoin’s value peaked around 18 months later, followed by its cyclical price correction.
The most recent Halving took place in April 2024, suggesting that a price peak could occur around September 2025. However, Standard Chartered is optimistic that increased institutional investment will propel Bitcoin’s price beyond traditional halving patterns.
They forecast that Bitcoin could reach $135,000 by September, the end of the third quarter and soar to a new all-time high of $200,000 by year-end, representing a significant 68% increase from its current price.
A Strong Long-Term Investment
This bullish outlook is supported by substantial inflows from institutional and corporate investors. In the second quarter alone, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and treasury companies acquired 245,000 bitcoins, marking the second-best quarter on record.
The approval of Bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission in January 2024 has further fueled this trend, with net inflows reaching $48.9 billion since then.
Moreover, the recently passed Genius Act, which regulates stablecoins, could provide additional momentum for BTC. While it doesn’t directly impact Bitcoin, the act may attract new investors who have been hesitant due to regulatory uncertainties.
The key question for investors is not solely about Bitcoin’s price in the coming months, but rather its viability as a long-term investment. Bitcoin has undeniably delivered impressive returns, having appreciated by 1,200% over the past five years.
Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a digital store of value and a hedge against inflation. The Motley Fool team has contended that for those considering an investment, starting with a modest allocation—around 1% of one’s portfolio—may be prudent. This approach would allow investors to gauge their comfort level with Bitcoin’s inherent volatility before increasing their exposure.
As of this writing, BTC has corrected back toward the $117,300 mark in an attempt to consolidate above this level and establish it as new support for further price appreciation.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
