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Bitcoin Futures Bias Turns Neutral As OI Net Position Hits Zero – Details

Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte
Last Updated: August 8, 2025 3:00 pm
3 mins read
Bitcoin Futures Bias Turns Neutral As OI Net Position Hits Zero – Details

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Bitcoin has reclaimed the crucial $115,000 level after briefly dipping to $112,000 earlier this week, signaling renewed strength from the bulls. The sharp recovery highlights buyers’ resilience following recent volatility, with price action now showing signs of bullish dominance. This rebound comes as traders and investors brace for the potential next leg up, eyeing higher resistance levels.

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Key market data adds weight to the bullish case. The Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position — a closely watched indicator that tracks the balance between long and short positions — has shifted in favor of the bulls, showing a clear edge over shorts. This change in positioning suggests that sentiment is turning more optimistic, with market participants increasingly betting on further upside.

However, while momentum is building, the coming days will be decisive. Bitcoin must maintain its hold above the $115K level to confirm this shift and open the door to a push toward the next major resistance. Failure to do so could invite fresh selling pressure, putting the recent gains at risk. For now, market structure and derivatives data suggest that bulls are in control, and the stage is set for Bitcoin’s next significant move.

Bitcoin Market Sentiment Shifts as Technical and Fundamental Tailwinds Align

According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s market structure is undergoing a notable shift. After a prolonged bearish regime since late July — marked by sustained short pressure and represented in the red zone — the SMA-120 line for the Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position has reversed upward, reaching the neutral zero mark. This indicator, which reflects the balance between long and short positioning, signals that the market has moved from aggressive short dominance to a neutral-bullish stance.

Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position | Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position | Source: CryptoQuant

Adler notes that a similar reversal attempt occurred just a week ago but failed to hold, leading to renewed selling pressure. This time, if the SMA-120 remains above zero for another two consecutive days, it would confirm a regime change, potentially paving the way for a more sustained bullish phase.

On the fundamental side, momentum is being supported by a major policy development: US President Donald Trump has signed an executive order permitting alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies, to be included in 401(k) retirement plans. This landmark decision could open the door for millions of Americans to gain exposure to Bitcoin and other digital assets through their retirement savings, significantly expanding potential demand.

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BTC Tests Key Liquidity Levels

Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a strong recovery after recently dipping to the $112K region, with bulls reclaiming the critical $115,724 support level. The rebound has pushed BTC toward the $116,700 area, signaling renewed buying interest after a period of panic selling.

BTC testing key price level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing key price level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The 50-day SMA (blue) is currently providing dynamic support near $113K, helping reinforce the bullish case in the short term. Above, the next major resistance is at $122,077, which marks the upper boundary of the recent consolidation range. A decisive breakout above this level could open the door for a retest of all-time highs.

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The market’s bias leans bullish as long as BTC remains above the 50-day SMA, but traders should watch for momentum signals. If price gains slow while approaching $122K, the risk of a pullback grows. Overall, BTC’s current structure reflects a market attempting to shift back into a bullish posture, with $115,724 acting as the key line in the sand for trend continuation.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte
Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies.

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To share his insights with others, Sebastian became an active contributor to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn. His focus on fintech and crypto-related topics quickly established him as a trusted voice in the online crypto community. Sebastian's goal was to educate and inform his audience about the latest trends and insights in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance. The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology.

Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K reports, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance.

Sebastian's journey as a crypto pioneer has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable contributor to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and helping to shape the future of this revolutionary technology.

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Disclaimer: The information found on NewsBTC is for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.

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Reason to trust

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
How Our News is Made

Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality

Ad discliamer

Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio.

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