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Bitcoin dominance is currently sitting around the mid-50% range, and although it has not shown any dramatic breakdown yet, some traders are beginning to watch for signs of rotation.
Data from platforms that track market share show Bitcoin dominance slowly pushing to the mid-fifties, but projections suggesting a future decline are forming the basis of new discussions in the XRP community. One such projection comes from an XRP enthusiast known as DROP, who shared a chart illustrating a steep fall in Bitcoin dominance that he believes will unlock XRP’s next major rally to double digits.
Bitcoin Dominance Projection Shows A Breakdown Zone
The chart shared by DROP outlines a scenario where Bitcoin dominance trends sideways for a while before sliding into the low-40% region. This projected decline is highlighted by a wide purple zone extending into 2026. The expectation is that a major rotation into altcoins, most especially XRP, would begin once dominance loses its current structure.
Although Bitcoin’s dominance has fallen quite a bit from its 60% range where it was circulating in October, it has fairly held up even when it fell to as low as $81,000 on November 21.
The last time Bitcoin’s dominance was as low as 40% was in early 2023. The idea behind the projection is not that another fall in dominance has already begun, but that the dominance is in a region where it could crash if market conditions change. According to DROP, this is the moment that will cement the beginning of XRP’s strongest move of the cycle. It is from here that the XRP price runs to double digits.
Double-Digit XRP Dependent On A Crypto Market Transition
XRP has often been one of the few assets that have shown the ability to outperform Bitcoin, especially when traders rotate into large-cap tokens that have lagged behind Bitcoin during the early part of a cycle.
This pattern was visible in both January and July 2025. The January 2025 move pushed XRP above $3 for the first time since 2018, and the July 2025 move saw the XRP price register a new all-time high.
The projection by DROP positions XRP as one of the likely gainers once market share begins to redistribute away from Bitcoin. This has not happened yet, and current dominance readings reflect stability rather than collapse. The projection centers on what could occur when the market enters the next altcoin rotation phase.
If dominance eventually drops toward the low-40% range, then the conditions might just be right for XRP to break out above $10. These conditions include retail and institutional participation, deeper liquidity from large investors, and meaningful inflows into XRP ETFs to sustain such an advance to double digits.
