Science and Technology 預測市場
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
4 25 · 4:00上午
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $452
- $100 → $128
US$102,152 交易量。（24小時）
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
4 25 · 4:00上午
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
12 31 · 1:00下午
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
US$21,603 交易量。（24小時）
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
4 30 · 4:00上午
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $200
- $100 → $196
US$6,456 交易量。（24小時）
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before June
Before July
US$5,934 交易量。（24小時）
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
US$2,937 交易量。（24小時）
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $375
- $100 → $132
US$1,859 交易量。（24小時）
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
US$1,848 交易量。（24小時）
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
7 1 · 4:00上午
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
US$1,525 交易量。（24小時）
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
12 31 · 1:00下午
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
US$1,297 交易量。（24小時）
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $182
- $100 → $196
US$1,202 交易量。（24小時）
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
- $100 → $526
- $100 → $116
US$1,000 交易量。（24小時）
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before September
4 14 · 4:00上午
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
US$912 交易量。（24小時）
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
US$706 交易量。（24小時）
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- $100 → $370
- $100 → $127
US$684 交易量。（24小時）
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
US$655 交易量。（24小時）
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
US$650 交易量。（24小時）
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $303
- $100 → $135
US$623 交易量。（24小時）
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $204
- $100 → $192
US$627 交易量。（24小時）
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
US$606 交易量。（24小時）
Top Coding AI this month
Qwen
ChatGPT
4 30 · 4:00上午
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $141
- $100 → $313
US$497 交易量。（24小時）
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
6 30 · 4:00上午
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.86
Above $1.89
US$477 交易量。（24小時）
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- $100 → $370
- $100 → $123
US$457 交易量。（24小時）
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before July
US$412 交易量。（24小時）
