Politics預測
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
Judy Shelton
US$1,374,251 交易量。（24小時）
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Before September 1, 2026
Before July 1, 2026
US$877,307 交易量。（24小時）
Who will attend the State of the Union?
George Santos
Barron Trump
US$347,344 交易量。（24小時）
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
US$282,793 交易量。（24小時）
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party
Republican Party
US$117,216 交易量。（24小時）
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 35 days
At least 40 days
US$89,776 交易量。（24小時）
World leaders out in 2026?
Miguel Díaz-Canel
Viktor Orbán
US$86,042 交易量。（24小時）
Texas Democratic Senate nominee?
James Talarico
Jasmine Crockett
US$77,981 交易量。（24小時）
Donald Trump out as President?
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
US$76,474 交易量。（24小時）
2028 Republican nominee for President?
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
US$36,513 交易量。（24小時）
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
Before July
US$33,211 交易量。（24小時）
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Byron Donalds
James Fishback
US$30,574 交易量。（24小時）
2026 Texas Senate matchup?
Talarico vs. Paxton
Crockett vs. Paxton
US$25,897 交易量。（24小時）
When will DHS be funded again?
Before Mar 20, 2026
Before Mar 10, 2026
US$23,905 交易量。（24小時）
Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
Boston
Portland
US$23,145 交易量。（24小時）
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
US$21,963 交易量。（24小時）
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pam Bondi
Kristi Noem
US$21,665 交易量。（24小時）
How many bills will President Trump sign in Feb 2026?
5
6
US$20,921 交易量。（24小時）
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2026?
- $100 → $256
- $100 → $161
US$20,829 交易量。（24小時）
Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Ken Paxton
John Cornyn
US$20,685 交易量。（24小時）
Global right wing sweep: October 2025
- $100 → $5,000
- $100 → $101
US$20,258 交易量。（24小時）
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $714
- $100 → $115
US$18,971 交易量。（24小時）
California Governor winner? (Person)
Eric Swalwell
Matt Mahan
US$18,855 交易量。（24小時）
Texas Senate winner?
Republican party
Democratic party
US$17,504 交易量。（24小時）
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
- $100 → $169
- $100 → $233
US$16,687 交易量。（24小時）
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Below 193
198-202
US$15,442 交易量。（24小時）
Will a court order a tariff refund?
Before 2027
Before July 2026
US$14,735 交易量。（24小時）
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $3,333
- $100 → $102
US$13,677 交易量。（24小時）
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
Delcy Rodríguez
2+ people
US$13,238 交易量。（24小時）
Kristi Noem out as DHS Secretary?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
US$12,472 交易量。（24小時）
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 2027
Before August
US$12,198 交易量。（24小時）
When will Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination be received by the Senate?
Before March 13
Before March
US$11,105 交易量。（24小時）
