Science and Technology ตลาดการคาดการณ์
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $461
- $100 → $127
US$122,854 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
ธ.ค. 31 · 1:00PM
Best AI this week
Gemini
Grok
พ.ค. 2 · 4:00AM
Top AI model this month
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
พ.ค. 31 · 4:00AM
Best AI in May 2026?
Claude
Gemini
US$14,906 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
พ.ค. 2 · 4:00AM
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
พ.ค. 31 · 4:00AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
ธ.ค. 31 · 1:00PM
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
US$2,788 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $208
- $100 → $189
US$1,841 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $437
- $100 → $129
US$1,744 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
US$1,568 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $238
- $100 → $169
US$1,341 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
US$1,026 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
เม.ย. 30 · 4:00AM
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Phone
Earbuds/Headphones
US$710 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
US$651 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
พ.ค. 2 · 4:00AM
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
US$644 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
US$374 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- $100 → $132
- $100 → $346
US$393 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
ก.ค. 1 · 4:00AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
มิ.ย. 30 · 4:00AM
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $100 → $185
- $100 → $209
US$271 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
US$248 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
US$209 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
US$214 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
before October
before September
ส.ค. 31 · 4:00AM
US test scores in Math in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
US$207 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
US$187 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- $100 → $556
- $100 → $120
US$145 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
US$128 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
