Politics ตลาดการคาดการณ์
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
US$370,719 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
US$313,437 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
US$181,296 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth
Karoline Leavitt
US$122,564 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
US$83,101 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
US$80,620 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- $100 → $3,333
- $100 → $102
US$76,238 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
US$70,035 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
US$65,256 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
US$53,468 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
US$48,045 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $5,882
- $100 → $101
พ.ค. 1 · 2:00AM
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
US$42,469 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Lori Chavez-DeRemer out as Labor Secretary?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
US$40,464 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
US$37,910 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
US$34,112 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- $100 → $130
- $100 → $417
US$29,680 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
US$29,275 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
US$25,599 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Bill Cassidy
Rand Paul
US$23,931 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before Apr 30, 2026
Before Apr 29, 2026
US$19,977 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- $100 → $625
- $100 → $118
US$18,009 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
- $100 → $1,000
- $100 → $111
US$17,318 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 230
Above 290
US$17,064 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
US$15,939 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $769
- $100 → $114
US$15,214 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump do anything this week? (4/19-4/25)
At least 10
At least 15
US$14,953 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
US$13,191 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will visit Iran before July?
Any U.S. House member
Jared Kushner
US$12,962 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
Keith Sonderling
Andrew Puzder
US$12,856 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- $100 → $222
- $100 → $175
US$11,938 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will ICE removal operations be funded again?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
US$10,549 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
