Politics ตลาดการคาดการณ์
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
US$249,599 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
US$227,516 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
US$104,541 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 15, 2026
Before May 8, 2026
US$91,319 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $769
- $100 → $114
US$62,088 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
US$57,902 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
US$56,345 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
US$48,636 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
US$42,247 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth
Howard Lutnick
US$40,274 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
US$39,755 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
US$38,189 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 230
Above 218
US$27,114 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Bill Cassidy
Rand Paul
US$24,259 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth
US$20,071 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
US$16,979 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan
Ilhan Omar
US$16,168 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- $100 → $1,429
- $100 → $106
US$14,860 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- $100 → $455
- $100 → $127
US$14,761 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
US$14,581 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $5,882
- $100 → $101
พ.ค. 1 · 2:00AM
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- $100 → $102
- $100 → $3,333
US$12,822 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
US$11,772 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?
- $100 → $115
- $100 → $625
US$10,344 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
US$10,287 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
US$10,251 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
US$8,732 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
Critical-minerals stockpile
US$8,418 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
US$6,900 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Which DHS components will receive more funding before May?
TSA
FEMA
US$6,868 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
US$6,502 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
- $100 → $769
- $100 → $114
US$6,455 ปริมาณ (24 ชม.)
