Science and Technology Рынки прогнозов
Best AI this week
Muse
ChatGPT
апр. 25 · 4:00AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $442
- $100 → $129
Объем 98 843 $ (24ч)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
апр. 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
дек. 31 · 1:00PM
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
апр. 30 · 4:00AM
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Объем 16 056 $ (24ч)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before June
Before July
Объем 12 894 $ (24ч)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $185
- $100 → $200
Объем 8 113 $ (24ч)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
апр. 30 · 4:00AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Объем 2 951 $ (24ч)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Объем 1 884 $ (24ч)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Объем 1 620 $ (24ч)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $373
- $100 → $132
Объем 1 610 $ (24ч)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
июл. 1 · 4:00AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
дек. 31 · 1:00PM
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $185
- $100 → $204
Объем 1 237 $ (24ч)
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
- $100 → $556
- $100 → $116
Объем 1 050 $ (24ч)
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
- $100 → $111
- $100 → $909
Объем 895 $ (24ч)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
Объем 855 $ (24ч)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Объем 766 $ (24ч)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before July
Объем 674 $ (24ч)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Объем 644 $ (24ч)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- $100 → $385
- $100 → $125
Объем 653 $ (24ч)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before September
апр. 14 · 4:00AM
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $313
- $100 → $135
Объем 623 $ (24ч)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Объем 594 $ (24ч)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
Объем 534 $ (24ч)
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- $100 → $370
- $100 → $125
Объем 457 $ (24ч)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $139
- $100 → $294
Объем 427 $ (24ч)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.91
Above $1.86
Объем 420 $ (24ч)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- $100 → $1,000
- $100 → $110
Объем 324 $ (24ч)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
июн. 30 · 4:00AM
