Science and Technology Рынки прогнозов
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
апр. 25 · 4:00AM

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $483
- $100 → $126
Объем 92 606 $ (24ч)
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
апр. 30 · 4:00AM

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
дек. 31 · 1:00PM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
апр. 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Объем 12 060 $ (24ч)

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $185
- $100 → $213
Объем 9 427 $ (24ч)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.06
Above $1.07
Объем 6 832 $ (24ч)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
апр. 30 · 4:00AM

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Объем 3 924 $ (24ч)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $164
- $100 → $250
Объем 3 228 $ (24ч)
NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $111
- $100 → $526
Объем 3 157 $ (24ч)

Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Объем 2 776 $ (24ч)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.46
Above $0.48
Объем 2 114 $ (24ч)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $132
- $100 → $294
Объем 1 457 $ (24ч)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Объем 1 428 $ (24ч)

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
- $100 → $110
- $100 → $1,000
Объем 1 365 $ (24ч)
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $263
- $100 → $145
Объем 1 218 $ (24ч)

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
- $100 → $625
- $100 → $116
Объем 1 102 $ (24ч)

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
дек. 31 · 1:00PM

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $392
- $100 → $132
Объем 1 005 $ (24ч)

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $145
- $100 → $303
Объем 930 $ (24ч)

AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
июл. 1 · 4:00AM

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jacob Tsimerman
Jack Thorne
Объем 674 $ (24ч)

NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Объем 624 $ (24ч)
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.52
Above $4.51
Объем 593 $ (24ч)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.91
Above $1.86
Объем 544 $ (24ч)

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Объем 525 $ (24ч)
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before July
июн. 30 · 4:00AM

US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
Объем 468 $ (24ч)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
апр. 25 · 4:00AM

When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before 2027
Объем 375 $ (24ч)