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Elections Mercados preditivos

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Abdul El-Sayed

Haley Stevens

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%

Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%

MI-13 Democratic nominee?

Donavan McKinney

Shri Thanedar

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds

James Fishback

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass

Nithya Raman

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Francesca Hong

David Crowley

Texas Governor winner?

Greg Abbott

Gina Hinojosa

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Darline Graham

Ralph Norman

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

Haley Stevens

Abdul El-Sayed

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate

D-House, R-Senate

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Abdul El-Sayed

Mike Rogers

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

At least 47%

At least 49%

Wisconsin Governor winner?

Republican party

Democratic party

Clacton by-election winner?

Count Binface Party

Conservative Party

California Governor winner? (Person)

Xavier Becerra

Steve Hilton

MI-07 Democratic nominee?

Bridget Brink

Matt Maasdam

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Marsha Blackburn

John Rose

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

At least 10%

At least 15%

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Peggy Flanagan

Angie Craig

WA-09 primary: who will advance?

C Mark Greene

Melissa Chaudhry

Who will drop out of their election?

Max Miller (before 8/11)

Cory Mills

Michigan Senate winner?

Democratic party

Republican party

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout

Above 1.5M

Above 1.6M

MO-01 Democratic primary: Cori Bush vote percent

At least 37%

At least 38%

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Republican Party

Democratic Party

Texas Senate winner?

Ken Paxton

James Talarico

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Gretchen Whitmer

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?

Kalamazoo

Macomb