Science and Technology Prediction Markets
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $459
- $100 → $128
$97,956 vol. (24h)
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
$14,599 vol. (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Apr 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$14,144 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 · 1:00PM
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $100 → $294
- $100 → $149
$5,615 vol. (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$5,357 vol. (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
Apr 30 · 4:00AM
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.53
Above $4.56
$5,111 vol. (24h)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
$1,821 vol. (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $373
- $100 → $136
$1,761 vol. (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.45
Above $0.46
$1,651 vol. (24h)
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
before December
before November
Aug 31 · 4:00AM
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.07
Above $1.06
$1,113 vol. (24h)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
$933 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $108
- $100 → $667
$916 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 · 4:00AM
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
$766 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $400
- $100 → $122
$755 vol. (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Jun 30 · 4:00AM
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.77
$571 vol. (24h)
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- $100 → $313
- $100 → $133
$460 vol. (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $100 → $172
- $100 → $231
$439 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$424 vol. (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- $100 → $455
- $100 → $118
$379 vol. (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$369 vol. (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- $100 → $104
- $100 → $909
$251 vol. (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- $100 → $909
- $100 → $110
$225 vol. (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before July
$225 vol. (24h)
