Science and Technology Predictions
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $100 → $500
- $100 → $123
$336,864 vol. (24h)
Best AI in Feb 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$101,693 vol. (24h)
What will be the top AI model this month?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
$27,038 vol. (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Gemini
Claude
$19,474 vol. (24h)
TSA avg check-ins from Feb 16 to 22, 2026?
Above 2.45 million
Above 2.05 million
$5,273 vol. (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$4,367 vol. (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
$3,624 vol. (24h)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Aalo Atomics
$2,560 vol. (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 6000
Above 8000
$1,977 vol. (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $100 → $370
- $100 → $135
$1,864 vol. (24h)
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
- $100 → $104
- $100 → $1,429
$1,512 vol. (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$1,468 vol. (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $100 → $222
- $100 → $179
$1,407 vol. (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2027?
- $100 → $303
- $100 → $147
$730 vol. (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before July
$681 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1550 score
At least 1575 score
$560 vol. (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$500 vol. (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
Jack Thorne
$369 vol. (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- $100 → $667
- $100 → $116
$347 vol. (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Gemini
Claude
$334 vol. (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- $100 → $217
- $100 → $182
$311 vol. (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
$303 vol. (24h)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before May
Before April
$252 vol. (24h)
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
$246 vol. (24h)
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- $100 → $385
- $100 → $133
$232 vol. (24h)
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
- $100 → $357
- $100 → $135
$228 vol. (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $100 → $200
- $100 → $185
$159 vol. (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $100 → $161
- $100 → $227
$155 vol. (24h)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
- $100 → $143
- $100 → $313
$155 vol. (24h)
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
- $100 → $556
- $100 → $118
$147 vol. (24h)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- $100 → $169
- $100 → $233
$128 vol. (24h)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
$125 vol. (24h)
