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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$55,133,621 vol
Best AI this week
Qwen
Amazon Nova
Jul 6 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model this week
claude-fable-5
claude-opus-4-6
Jul 6 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$193,178 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
Before Jul 10, 2026
Before Jul 9, 2026
Jul 9 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Jul 6 @ 4:00 AM
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$3,102,862 vol
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
$541,519 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,822,589 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1550 score
$121,609 vol
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August 17th
Before August
$155,817 vol
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
Before March 2027
Before February 2027
$15,295 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
$1,327,859 vol
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 9k
Above 10k
$17,637 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $3.45
Above $3.55
$10,190 vol
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
Above 14
Above 15
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
$142,030 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
$180,883 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Burundi
$527,136 vol
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before July 2027
Before Mar 1, 2027
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
John Pardon
Jack Thorne
$207,838 vol
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Jul 17, 2026
$11,257 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before 2027
$83,880 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.19
Above $5.79
$31,943 vol
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$95,066 vol
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before October
$25,178 vol