Politics Prediction Markets
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$409,838 vol. (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before August
Before July
$232,322 vol. (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 100 days
At least 110 days
$148,259 vol. (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Karoline Leavitt
Lee Zeldin
$115,814 vol. (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Judy Shelton
$115,753 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- $100 → $10,000
- $100 → --
$115,545 vol. (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
$110,480 vol. (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$95,250 vol. (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$78,602 vol. (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
2
$65,450 vol. (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$63,002 vol. (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- $100 → $5,556
- $100 → $101
May 1 · 2:00AM
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 290
Above 218
$42,334 vol. (24h)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$38,034 vol. (24h)
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
$37,750 vol. (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$35,656 vol. (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
$35,494 vol. (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
Keith Sonderling
Glenn Youngkin
$24,591 vol. (24h)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- $100 → $667
- $100 → $116
$24,443 vol. (24h)
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)
- $100 → $130
- $100 → $417
$21,785 vol. (24h)
Will Trump do anything this week? (4/19-4/25)
At least 10
At least 15
$21,749 vol. (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$21,316 vol. (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
$18,428 vol. (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- $100 → $833
- $100 → $112
$17,777 vol. (24h)
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
- $100 → $909
- $100 → $111
$16,622 vol. (24h)
Who will visit Iran before July?
Any U.S. House member
Jared Kushner
$14,988 vol. (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
$14,356 vol. (24h)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- $100 → $588
- $100 → $119
$14,206 vol. (24h)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$14,152 vol. (24h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Bill Cassidy
Rand Paul
$14,075 vol. (24h)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
$13,261 vol. (24h)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/20 - 4/26)
Above 60
Above 70
$12,595 vol. (24h)
