Politics – rynki prognoz
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Wolumen 234 518 USD (24 h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 100 days
At least 110 days
Wolumen 111 966 USD (24 h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
Wolumen 91 340 USD (24 h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Wolumen 41 770 USD (24 h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
Wolumen 36 634 USD (24 h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Tulsi Gabbard
Lee Zeldin
Wolumen 33 725 USD (24 h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Wolumen 31 396 USD (24 h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
Wolumen 28 987 USD (24 h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
Wolumen 25 060 USD (24 h)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Wolumen 21 792 USD (24 h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth
Wolumen 21 421 USD (24 h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Wolumen 20 846 USD (24 h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- 100 USD → $833
- 100 USD → $112
Wolumen 19 514 USD (24 h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
Wolumen 19 434 USD (24 h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218
Above 290
Wolumen 17 197 USD (24 h)
Who will visit Venezuela before May?
María Corina Machado
Edmundo González Urrutia
Wolumen 15 763 USD (24 h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
Wolumen 14 345 USD (24 h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Wolumen 12 629 USD (24 h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
Wolumen 10 742 USD (24 h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Hassett
Wolumen 10 279 USD (24 h)
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Wolumen 8471 USD (24 h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before May 15, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Wolumen 8296 USD (24 h)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
Critical-minerals stockpile
Wolumen 7828 USD (24 h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
Wolumen 7817 USD (24 h)
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
Wolumen 7495 USD (24 h)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- 100 USD → $625
- 100 USD → $118
Wolumen 6577 USD (24 h)
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
- 100 USD → $769
- 100 USD → $114
Wolumen 5385 USD (24 h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Rand Paul
Mitch McConnell
Wolumen 5122 USD (24 h)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
Wolumen 4691 USD (24 h)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- 100 USD → $250
- 100 USD → $164
Wolumen 4166 USD (24 h)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
Wolumen 4140 USD (24 h)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
James Comey
Ilhan Omar
Wolumen 4089 USD (24 h)
