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Science and Technology Voorspellingen
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $0.83
Above $0.85
US$ 7 vol. (24 uur)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $1800
At least $2200
US$ 8 vol. (24 uur)
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
- $ 100 → $256
- $ 100 → $161
US$ 0 vol. (24 uur)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
jul 1 · 4:00a.m.
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
US$ 29 vol. (24 uur)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
US$ 100 vol. (24 uur)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $ 100 → $154
- $ 100 → $256
US$ 127 vol. (24 uur)
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
At least 450
US$ 292 vol. (24 uur)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
dec 31 · 1:00p.m.
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Radiant Industries
Atomic Alchemy
US$ 273 vol. (24 uur)
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
- $ 100 → $185
- $ 100 → $196
US$ 78 vol. (24 uur)
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
- $ 100 → $263
- $ 100 → $149
US$ 26 vol. (24 uur)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
John Pardon
US$ 183 vol. (24 uur)
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
Before 2035
US$ 205 vol. (24 uur)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- $ 100 → $200
- $ 100 → $192
US$ 51 vol. (24 uur)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute on Mar 31, 2026?
Above $1.65
Above $1.67
US$ 290 vol. (24 uur)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
dec 31 · 1:00p.m.
Best AI in Mar 2026?
Claude
Gemini
US$ 4.589 vol. (24 uur)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 6000
Above 8000
US$ 7.447 vol. (24 uur)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- $ 100 → $189
- $ 100 → $208
US$ 10 vol. (24 uur)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
US$ 0 vol. (24 uur)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
US$ 1.873 vol. (24 uur)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
US$ 368 vol. (24 uur)
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
US$ 607 vol. (24 uur)
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2040
Before 2035
US$ 0 vol. (24 uur)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- $ 100 → $204
- $ 100 → $179
US$ 32 vol. (24 uur)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
US$ 543 vol. (24 uur)
What will be the top AI model this month?
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
mrt 30 · 10:00p.m.
US test scores in Math in 2026?
No significant difference
Significant decrease
US$ 29 vol. (24 uur)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
US$ 349 vol. (24 uur)
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
- $ 100 → $185
- $ 100 → $200
US$ 351 vol. (24 uur)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
US$ 3.380 vol. (24 uur)
