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Science and Technology voorspellingsmarkten
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
apr 25 · 4:00a.m.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- $ 100 → $461
- $ 100 → $127
US$ 134.594 vol. (24 uur)
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
apr 25 · 4:00a.m.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
dec 31 · 1:00p.m.
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
apr 30 · 4:00a.m.
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- $ 100 → $164
- $ 100 → $250
US$ 10.337 vol. (24 uur)
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
US$ 9.370 vol. (24 uur)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before May
Before July
US$ 3.884 vol. (24 uur)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- $ 100 → $366
- $ 100 → $132
US$ 2.874 vol. (24 uur)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
US$ 1.835 vol. (24 uur)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
US$ 1.476 vol. (24 uur)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
US$ 1.316 vol. (24 uur)
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
before December
before November
aug 31 · 4:00a.m.
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.82
Above $1.86
US$ 1.219 vol. (24 uur)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
apr 25 · 4:00a.m.
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- $ 100 → $833
- $ 100 → $110
US$ 1.101 vol. (24 uur)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
US$ 966 vol. (24 uur)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jack Thorne
Yu Deng
US$ 916 vol. (24 uur)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
dec 31 · 1:00p.m.
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
jun 30 · 4:00a.m.
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- $ 100 → $385
- $ 100 → $123
US$ 648 vol. (24 uur)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before September
apr 14 · 4:00a.m.
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
jul 1 · 4:00a.m.
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Qwen
apr 30 · 4:00a.m.
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- $ 100 → $208
- $ 100 → $189
US$ 514 vol. (24 uur)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
jun 30 · 4:00a.m.
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before July
US$ 471 vol. (24 uur)
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- $ 100 → $385
- $ 100 → $122
US$ 449 vol. (24 uur)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $2.55
Above $2.69
US$ 337 vol. (24 uur)
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
US$ 300 vol. (24 uur)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
US$ 271 vol. (24 uur)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- $ 100 → $141
- $ 100 → $303
US$ 209 vol. (24 uur)
