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Science and Technology Prédictions
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Phone
Earbuds/Headphones
Volume : 994 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.80
Above $1.81
Volume : 331 $US (24h)
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
- 100 $ → $200
- 100 $ → $196
Volume : 204 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.95
Above $1.02
Volume : 65 $US (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
Volume : 674 $US (24h)
US test scores in Math in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
Volume : 143 $US (24h)
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
- 100 $ → $169
- 100 $ → $213
Volume : 26 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $2.58
Above $2.62
Volume : 14 $US (24h)
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
before December
before November
août 31 · 4:00AM
When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
before December
before September
août 31 · 4:00AM
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jacob Tsimerman
Yu Deng
Volume : 5 $US (24h)
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
Before 2035
Volume : 121 $US (24h)
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- 100 $ → $213
- 100 $ → $185
Volume : 50 $US (24h)
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
before December
before November
août 31 · 4:00AM
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2035
Before 2030
Volume : 1 $US (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
juil. 1 · 4:00AM
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 $ → $185
- 100 $ → $215
Volume : 87 $US (24h)
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- 100 $ → $189
- 100 $ → $208
Volume : 70 $US (24h)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
- 100 $ → $185
- 100 $ → $200
Volume : 61 $US (24h)
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before 2028
Before October 2027
juin 30 · 4:00AM
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
- 100 $ → $222
- 100 $ → $167
Volume : 0 $US (24h)
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
Before 2028
Before October 2027
juin 30 · 4:00AM
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- 100 $ → $222
- 100 $ → $167
Volume : 0 $US (24h)
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Volume : 3 298 $US (24h)
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before July
juin 30 · 4:00AM
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Volume : 173 $US (24h)
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Antares Nuclear
Radiant Industries
Volume : 0 $US (24h)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before September
Before July
avr. 14 · 4:00AM
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
Volume : 0 $US (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Volume : 1 902 $US (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
