Marchés de prédiction indisponibles.
Science and Technology Marchés de prédiction
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
avr. 30 · 4:00AM

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 $ → $478
- 100 $ → $126
Volume : 99 229 $US (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
avr. 25 · 4:00AM

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Volume : 14 365 $US (24h)

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 $ → $250
- 100 $ → $164
Volume : 12 856 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA A100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.07
Above $1.06
Volume : 6 983 $US (24h)

Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Volume : 5 786 $US (24h)

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Volume : 4 619 $US (24h)
NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $110
- 100 $ → $625
Volume : 3 194 $US (24h)
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $159
- 100 $ → $256
Volume : 3 179 $US (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 30 · 4:00AM

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Volume : 2 510 $US (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Volume : 2 200 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.46
Above $0.48
Volume : 1 872 $US (24h)

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Volume : 1 611 $US (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $132
- 100 $ → $323
Volume : 1 467 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.86
Volume : 1 246 $US (24h)

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 $ → $149
- 100 $ → $286
Volume : 1 211 $US (24h)
NVIDIA RTX 5090 Compute Price Up or Down by Apr 24, 2026?
- 100 $ → $286
- 100 $ → $139
Volume : 1 215 $US (24h)

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 $ → $385
- 100 $ → $132
Volume : 1 085 $US (24h)

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.52
Above $4.51
Volume : 593 $US (24h)

NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Volume : 615 $US (24h)

AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
juil. 1 · 4:00AM
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before November
Before September
avr. 14 · 4:00AM
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Dola
avr. 25 · 4:00AM

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- 100 $ → $500
- 100 $ → $123
Volume : 445 $US (24h)

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Volume : 429 $US (24h)

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 $ → $172
- 100 $ → $238
Volume : 395 $US (24h)
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
juin 30 · 4:00AM