Marchés de prédiction indisponibles.
Science and Technology Marchés de prédiction
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 $ → $450
- 100 $ → $127
Volume : 162 536 $US (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
avr. 30 · 4:00AM
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 $ → $161
- 100 $ → $256
Volume : 18 142 $US (24h)
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Volume : 3 223 $US (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Volume : 2 714 $US (24h)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
Volume : 2 611 $US (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 $ → $362
- 100 $ → $136
Volume : 1 831 $US (24h)
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before May
Before July
Volume : 1 735 $US (24h)
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before 2028
Before July 2027
juin 30 · 4:00AM
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
before December
before November
août 31 · 4:00AM
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Volume : 1 192 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.82
Above $1.86
Volume : 1 137 $US (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- 100 $ → $1,000
- 100 $ → $110
Volume : 1 127 $US (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
avr. 25 · 4:00AM
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Volume : 1 064 $US (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
déc. 31 · 1:00PM
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
Volume : 709 $US (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
Qwen
avr. 30 · 4:00AM
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- 100 $ → $208
- 100 $ → $189
Volume : 527 $US (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
juin 30 · 4:00AM
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
Volume : 472 $US (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Volume : 367 $US (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $2.55
Above $2.69
Volume : 338 $US (24h)
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Volume : 296 $US (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
Volume : 239 $US (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Volume : 223 $US (24h)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before September
Before July
avr. 14 · 4:00AM
Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?
- 100 $ → $357
- 100 $ → $128
Volume : 201 $US (24h)
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
Volume : 181 $US (24h)
