Mercados de predicción Science and Technology
Best AI this week
Claude
Gemini
may 2 · 4:00a. m.
Best AI in Apr 2026?
LLaMA
Gemini
Vol. 115.748 US$ (24h)
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 USD → $488
- 100 USD → $125
Vol. 90.411 US$ (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. 12.118 US$ (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Gemini
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Vol. 6894 US$ (24h)
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
may 2 · 4:00a. m.
NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by May 1, 2026?
- 100 USD → $137
- 100 USD → $333
Vol. 4668 US$ (24h)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
Vol. 3797 US$ (24h)
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 USD → $244
- 100 USD → $164
Vol. 3548 US$ (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Vol. 3035 US$ (24h)
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by May 1, 2026?
- 100 USD → $108
- 100 USD → $250
Vol. 2738 US$ (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 USD → $385
- 100 USD → $128
Vol. 2458 US$ (24h)
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
may 2 · 4:00a. m.
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
- 100 USD → $588
- 100 USD → $119
Vol. 1326 US$ (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
jul 1 · 4:00a. m.
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $4.71
Above $4.89
Vol. 898 US$ (24h)
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
- 100 USD → $769
- 100 USD → $114
Vol. 876 US$ (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- 100 USD → $313
- 100 USD → $135
Vol. 668 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.92
Above $1.83
Vol. 651 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.45
Above $0.46
Vol. 628 US$ (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Vol. 584 US$ (24h)
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. 440 US$ (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 USD → $176
- 100 USD → $212
Vol. 398 US$ (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
Vol. 397 US$ (24h)
When will Anthropic release Claude 5?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Vol. 357 US$ (24h)
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 USD → $159
- 100 USD → $263
Vol. 326 US$ (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before October
Before 2027
Vol. 350 US$ (24h)
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
- 100 USD → $333
- 100 USD → $133
Vol. 330 US$ (24h)
