Mercados de predicción Politics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 231.916 US$ (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 100 days
At least 110 days
Vol. 140.562 US$ (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before July
Before June
Vol. 80.798 US$ (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
Vol. 51.847 US$ (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
Vol. 47.948 US$ (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Howard Lutnick
Tulsi Gabbard
Vol. 37.676 US$ (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
6 to 99
Vol. 35.889 US$ (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol. 21.861 US$ (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Pete Hegseth
Vol. 21.596 US$ (24h)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Vol. 20.577 US$ (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
0
Vol. 20.578 US$ (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 218
Above 230
Vol. 17.984 US$ (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 15.219 US$ (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Vol. 14.615 US$ (24h)
Who will visit Venezuela before May?
Edmundo González Urrutia
María Corina Machado
Vol. 13.997 US$ (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 13.533 US$ (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Vol. 12.568 US$ (24h)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2028
Before 2027
Vol. 11.433 US$ (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.4 to 41.6
Vol. 10.547 US$ (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- 100 USD → $833
- 100 USD → $112
Vol. 9560 US$ (24h)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
Critical-minerals stockpile
Vol. 7832 US$ (24h)
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 6894 US$ (24h)
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
Vol. 6674 US$ (24h)
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
Claudia Sheinbaum
Xi Jinping
Vol. 6656 US$ (24h)
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
- 100 USD → $625
- 100 USD → $118
Vol. 6584 US$ (24h)
Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?
Rand Paul
Susan Collins
Vol. 6255 US$ (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
Vol. 4497 US$ (24h)
Who will leave Congress before July?
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Cory Mills
Vol. 4197 US$ (24h)
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
Before May 1, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
Vol. 3957 US$ (24h)
Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
Vol. 3916 US$ (24h)
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Ilhan Omar
Letitia James
Vol. 3902 US$ (24h)
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
Before July
Vol. 3842 US$ (24h)
