Mercados de predicción Politics
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 329.831 US$ (24h)
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/19-4/25)
- 100 USD → $10,000
- 100 USD → --
Vol. 244.081 US$ (24h)
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Kevin Warsh
Rick Rieder
Vol. 237.035 US$ (24h)
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before 2027
Before July 2026
Vol. 170.279 US$ (24h)
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 95 days
At least 100 days
Vol. 137.102 US$ (24h)
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before September
Before August
Vol. 133.054 US$ (24h)
Will the SAVE Act become law?
- 100 USD → $1,010
- 100 USD → $110
Vol. 127.585 US$ (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Lee Zeldin
Todd Blanche
Vol. 92.943 US$ (24h)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Todd Blanche
Karoline Leavitt
Vol. 86.153 US$ (24h)
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2026
Vol. 81.791 US$ (24h)
When will DHS be funded again?
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 66.658 US$ (24h)
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 56.156 US$ (24h)
How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?
0
1 to 5
Vol. 51.687 US$ (24h)
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?
Above 230
Above 218
Vol. 40.982 US$ (24h)
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?
1
2
Vol. 34.534 US$ (24h)
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol. 32.657 US$ (24h)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/20 - 4/26)
Above 30
Above 40
Vol. 32.014 US$ (24h)
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Vol. 29.784 US$ (24h)
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
- 100 USD → $833
- 100 USD → $112
Vol. 28.705 US$ (24h)
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
Vol. 28.010 US$ (24h)
Keir Starmer Out?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Vol. 25.438 US$ (24h)
Powell out as Chair?
- 100 USD → $10,000
- 100 USD → $101
may 1 · 2:00a. m.
When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 19.779 US$ (24h)
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
- 100 USD → $1,042
- 100 USD → $109
Vol. 18.918 US$ (24h)
When will Trump visit China?
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
Vol. 15.137 US$ (24h)
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Vol. 15.088 US$ (24h)
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Tulsi Gabbard
Howard Lutnick
Vol. 14.964 US$ (24h)
Trump's approval rating on Apr 24, 2026?
Below 41.1
41.1 to 41.3
Vol. 13.947 US$ (24h)
Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
Vol. 13.476 US$ (24h)
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
Keith Sonderling
Glenn Youngkin
Vol. 12.122 US$ (24h)
When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?
Before May 4, 2026
Before Apr 30, 2026
Vol. 11.423 US$ (24h)
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
Vol. 11.235 US$ (24h)
