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If Péter Magyar becomes Prime Minister of Hungary as a result of government formation following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion: The person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention. They must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government. The appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election. Serving as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Special situations: If no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except "No one" if that option exists. If new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately. For rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes. If the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes. Markets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to "Other" if that option exists. Resultado verificado por parliament or legislature of , official government gazette or equivalent official publication of , office of the head of state of , major national news outlets of , Financial Times, the Associated Press, official government websites of , Reuters, The Guardian, BBC, The Washington Post, Bloomberg News, The New York Times

If Péter Magyar becomes Prime Minister of Hungary as a result of government formation following the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion: The person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention. They must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government. The appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election. Serving as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Special situations: If no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except "No one" if that option exists. If new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately. For rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes. If the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes. Markets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to "Other" if that option exists. Resultado verificado por parliament or legislature of , official government gazette or equivalent official publication of , office of the head of state of , major national news outlets of , Financial Times, the Associated Press, official government websites of , Reuters, The Guardian, BBC, The Washington Post, Bloomberg News, The New York Times

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Estadísticas clave

Vencimiento
1 may 2027(378 días)
Interés
2.539.105,82 US$
Vol. (24 h)
9979,25 US$↘ 68,81 %
Total
6,6 M US$

Detalles

Cronograma y reglas

Calendarios y pagos

Este mercado se cerrará y expirará cuando ocurra un resultado. De lo contrario, se cierra para el 1 may 2027, 2:00 p. m. GMT+0.

Prohibiciones de operación

Las siguientes entidades tienen prohibido realizar la operación de este contrato:
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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