Este producto no está disponible para residentes del EEE.
Mercados de predicción de Science and Technology
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- 100 USD → $485
- 100 USD → $126
Vol. de 69.309 US$ (24h)
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Top AI model in April?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Best AI in Apr 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. de 23.933 US$ (24h)
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
dic 31 · 1:00p. m.
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- 100 USD → $222
- 100 USD → $172
Vol. de 4726 US$ (24h)
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Above 6000
Vol. de 4222 US$ (24h)
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Jacob Tsimerman
Jack Thorne
Vol. de 3775 US$ (24h)
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Qwen
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Vol. de 2375 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA H100 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $1.60
Above $1.91
Vol. de 2208 US$ (24h)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 100 USD → $385
- 100 USD → $132
Vol. de 1862 US$ (24h)
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
abr 30 · 4:00a. m.
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. de 1234 US$ (24h)
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
- 100 USD → $143
- 100 USD → $278
Vol. de 855 US$ (24h)
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
jun 30 · 4:00a. m.
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. de 660 US$ (24h)
What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
At least $2000
At least $2200
Vol. de 614 US$ (24h)
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
jul 1 · 4:00a. m.
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by May 1, 2026?
- 100 USD → $192
- 100 USD → $204
Vol. de 312 US$ (24h)
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
before December
before November
ago 31 · 4:00a. m.
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
- 100 USD → $159
- 100 USD → $250
Vol. de 297 US$ (24h)
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
- 100 USD → $556
- 100 USD → $115
Vol. de 267 US$ (24h)
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
China
Vol. de 282 US$ (24h)
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Apr 30, 2026?
Above $0.45
Above $0.46
Vol. de 272 US$ (24h)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
- 100 USD → $213
- 100 USD → $175
Vol. de 257 US$ (24h)
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000
At least 5000
Vol. de 243 US$ (24h)
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before September
Vol. de 237 US$ (24h)
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
Vol. de 229 US$ (24h)
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before July
Vol. de 208 US$ (24h)
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
- 100 USD → $175
- 100 USD → $217
Vol. de 201 US$ (24h)
When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
before November
before October
ago 31 · 4:00a. m.
